Canadian Premier League
·
Full time
·Group Stage
Vancouver FC
vs
HFX Wanderers FC
2 – 1 Full time
| 24′ | elage bah | ||
| 44′ | Lucas Olguin | ||
| 45′ | elage bahAboubacar Traore | ||
| 45′ | Liam MacKenzieA. Reid | ||
| 53′ | Isak Ssewankambo | ||
| 64′ | Ilan Ahmed HassanFrancesco Troisi | ||
| 66′ | Terran CampbellLys Mousset | ||
| 69′ | A. Reid | ||
| 71′ | Isak SsewankamboMarcello Polisi | ||
| 72′ | Emrick FotsingBenjamin Lee | ||
| 76′ | Matteo.Campagna | ||
| 81′ | Miguel Arilla GuinotTavio Ciccarelli | ||
| 81′ | S. ZitmanAndre Rampersad | ||
| 84′ | Luis ToomeyNicolás Mezquida | ||
| 88′ | Lucas OlguinJabu Deng |
Vancouver FC
44%
Draw
25%
HFX Wanderers FC
31%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 330 | Accurate passes | 462 |
Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC
| Probability | Vancouver FC | Draw | HFX Wanderers FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.8% | 22.8% | 29.5% |
| Market | 42.8% | 26.1% | 31.1% |
| Final | 44.0% | 25.3% | 30.7% |
| Edge | +1.3% | -0.8% | -0.4% |
Why Vancouver FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 1.61.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
71%
No goals
3%
Vancouver FC and HFX Wanderers FC expected goals
Vancouver FC
2.09
HFX Wanderers FC
1.61
Total expected goals: 3.70
Vancouver FC and HFX Wanderers FC attack and defence ratings
Vancouver FC
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
1.04 +4%
HFX Wanderers FC
Attack
1.17 +17%
Defence
1.16 +16%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC: result vs prediction
Vancouver FC 2 – 1 HFX Wanderers FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vancouver FC | 44.0% | 2.27 | +1.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vancouver FC | 44.0% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| HFX Wanderers FC | 30.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.0% |
| No | 29.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vancouver FC win | 28.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 51.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.2% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC stats
Vancouver FC and HFX Wanderers FC recent form
| Vancouver FC |
DDDDLW |
| HFX Wanderers FC |
DDLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vancouver FC and HFX Wanderers FC going into this match
Vancouver FC record
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
HFX Wanderers FC record
- They have won 7 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Vancouver FC wins
1Draws
7HFX Wanderers FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | HFX Wanderers FC | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-30 | HFX Wanderers FC | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Vancouver FC | HFX Wanderers FC | Canadian Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Vancouver FC | HFX Wanderers FC | Canadian Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2025-08-04 | HFX Wanderers FC | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-06-21 | HFX Wanderers FC | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Vancouver FC | HFX Wanderers FC | Canadian Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2024-10-05 | HFX Wanderers FC | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-05 | HFX Wanderers FC | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2024-06-23 | Vancouver FC | HFX Wanderers FC | Canadian Premier League | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.0%, draw 25.8%, away 31.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.55 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.18 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.40 | 2.83 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 3.52 | 2.99 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.11 ▼ -0.01
X
3.45 ▼ -0.08
2
2.90 —
2 snapshots recorded, from .