Vancouver FC
vs
HFX Wanderers FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vancouver FC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC
| Probability | Vancouver FC | Draw | HFX Wanderers FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.7% | 23.0% | 31.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.7% | 23.0% | 31.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Vancouver FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.66.
Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC match preview
Vancouver FC faces HFX Wanderers FC in a Canadian Premier League matchup with Vancouver holding a 46% probability of winning, while HFX has a 31% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, which aligns with expectations for a high-scoring game, as there is a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
Recent form shows Vancouver FC with three draws, one win, and two losses, while HFX Wanderers FC has two wins and four losses in their last six matches. In their last seven encounters, HFX has dominated with five wins compared to Vancouver's two. Expected goals are 2.02 for Vancouver FC and 1.66 for HFX, indicating a competitive match ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vancouver FC and HFX Wanderers FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.69
Vancouver FC and HFX Wanderers FC attack and defence ratings
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Group Stage fixtures
Before and after this match
Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vancouver FC | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vancouver FC | 45.7% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| HFX Wanderers FC | 31.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.2% |
| No | 28.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vancouver FC win | 26.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 54.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC stats
Vancouver FC and HFX Wanderers FC recent form
| Vancouver FC |
DDDLWL |
| HFX Wanderers FC |
DLWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vancouver FC and HFX Wanderers FC season so far
Vancouver FC record
- They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
HFX Wanderers FC record
- They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | HFX Wanderers FC | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-30 | HFX Wanderers FC | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Vancouver FC | HFX Wanderers FC | Canadian Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Vancouver FC | HFX Wanderers FC | Canadian Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2025-08-04 | HFX Wanderers FC | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-06-21 | HFX Wanderers FC | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Vancouver FC | HFX Wanderers FC | Canadian Premier League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.