Canadian Premier League · Full time ·Group Stage

Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC

2 – 2 Full time

7′Loic Adrien Kwemi
25′Matteo.Campagna
47′Luis Toomey
59′Terran Campbell
61′Ibrahim CondeClement Bayiha
61′Omar El KalkouliR. Bey
68′Terran CampbellLys Mousset
68′Emrick FotsingDamiano Pecile
78′Aboubacar SissokoS. Mlah
86′Luis ToomeyBenjamin Lee
86′Damiano PecileAbdoulaye·Ouattara
88′S. Mlah
89′Tom FieldAboubacar Traore
90′Benjamin Lee
90′Zachary Brault Guillard
90′S. Mlah
90′Matteo.Campagna

CEPSUM StadiumReferee: R. Villanueva

Supra du Quebec 47%
Draw 25%
Vancouver FC 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
46 Possession % 54
9 Corners 4
12 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
1 Saves 3
280 Accurate passes 362

Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySupra du QuebecDrawVancouver FC
Model47.5%23.6%29.0%
Market46.3%25.4%28.2%
Final46.6%25.0%28.4%
Edge+0.3%-0.5%+0.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Supra du Quebec

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.52.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Supra du Quebe ↓ / Vancouver FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 10% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Supra du Quebec and Vancouver FC expected goals

Supra du Quebec 1.97
Vancouver FC 1.52

Total expected goals: 3.49

Supra du Quebec and Vancouver FC attack and defence ratings

Supra du Quebec

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Vancouver FC

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC: result vs prediction

Supra du Quebec 2 – 2 Vancouver FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Before and after this match

Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Supra du Quebec 46.6% 2.14 +0.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.7% 1.48 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.1% 1.47 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.5% 1.90 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Supra du Quebec46.6%
Draw25.0%
Vancouver FC28.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.7%
Under 2.532.3%
Both teams to scoreYes68.1%
No31.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.6%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)53.4%
Handicap -1Supra du Quebec win27.6%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss52.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.0%
2-19.0%
1-26.9%

Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC stats

Supra du Quebec and Vancouver FC recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Supra du Quebec and Vancouver FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Supra du Quebec record

  • They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vancouver FC record

  • They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Supra du Quebec wins 1Draws 2Vancouver FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-06Vancouver FCSupra du QuebecCanadian Premier League3-2
2026-07-17Supra du QuebecVancouver FCCanadian Premier League1-5
2026-05-23Vancouver FCSupra du QuebecCanadian Premier League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.3%, draw 25.4%, away 28.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.89 3.46 3.44
Bet365 1.95 3.70 3.20
BetVictor 1.95 3.60 3.25
Betano 2.10 3.65 3.15
Betfair 1.95 3.75 3.00
Dafabet 2.08 3.65 3.20
Marathonbet 1.87 3.46 3.35
Pinnacle 1.99 3.51 3.27
SBO 1.93 3.16 2.90
William Hill 1.95 3.40 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.95 —
X 3.55 ▲ +0.04
2 3.20 ▼ -0.05

4 snapshots recorded, from .