Supra du Quebec
vs
Vancouver FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Supra du Quebec
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC
| Probability | Supra du Quebec | Draw | Vancouver FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.5% | 23.6% | 29.0% |
| Market | 46.4% | 25.8% | 27.8% |
| Final | 46.7% | 25.2% | 28.1% |
| Edge | +1.1% | -2.2% | +1.1% |
Why Supra du Quebec
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.52.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.05, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC match preview
In the upcoming Canadian Premier League match, Supra du Quebec faces Vancouver FC on October 10, 2026. The model assigns probabilities of 45% for a Supra du Quebec win, 24% for a draw, and 32% for a Vancouver FC victory. The expected goals for Supra du Quebec stand at 1.92, while Vancouver FC is projected at 1.60. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Supra du Quebec, occurring at a rate of 9%.
Both teams show a strong likelihood of scoring, with a 69% probability for both teams to find the net. Recent form indicates Supra du Quebec has alternated wins and losses, while Vancouver FC has struggled with three draws and two losses in their last five matches. In their last three encounters, Supra du Quebec has not secured a win against Vancouver FC, recording two losses and one draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Supra du Quebec and Vancouver FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.49
Supra du Quebec and Vancouver FC attack and defence ratings
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Group Stage fixtures
Before and after this match
Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Supra du Quebec | 46.7% | 2.14 | +1.1% | 2.05 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Supra du Quebec | 46.7% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Vancouver FC | 28.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.1% |
| No | 31.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Supra du Quebec win | 27.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 52.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 6.9% |
Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC stats
Supra du Quebec and Vancouver FC recent form
| Supra du Quebec |
WWLWLL |
| Vancouver FC |
DDDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Supra du Quebec and Vancouver FC season so far
Supra du Quebec record
- They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vancouver FC record
- They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vancouver FC | Supra du Quebec | Canadian Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2026-07-17 | Supra du Quebec | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-5 |
| 2026-05-23 | Vancouver FC | Supra du Quebec | Canadian Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.4%, draw 25.8%, away 27.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.46 | 3.44 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.65 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.03 | 3.65 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 3.46 | 3.35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99 | 3.51 | 3.27 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .