Supra du Quebec
vs
York United
3 – 0 Full time
| 24′ | Tomasz Skublak | ||
| 44′ | Max Ferrari | ||
| 45′ | Sean Rea | ||
| 53′ | Kembo·Kibato | ||
| 54′ | David PerazaShola Jimoh | ||
| 62′ | Sean Rea | ||
| 67′ | David ChoiniereOmar El Kalkouli | ||
| 67′ | Aboubacar SissokoS. Mlah | ||
| 67′ | Beni BadibangaKevonte Tyrique Jaaziah Clarke | ||
| 79′ | Ibrahim CondeNoah Lauren Trudel dos Santos | ||
| 87′ | Noah Lauren Trudel dos Santos |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 447 | Accurate passes | 233 |
Supra du Quebec vs York United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Supra du Quebec vs York United
| Probability | Supra du Quebec | Draw | York United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.0% | 16.5% | 17.5% |
| Market | 52.1% | 24.1% | 23.8% |
| Final | 55.5% | 22.2% | 22.2% |
| Edge | +3.5% | -1.9% | -1.6% |
Why Supra du Quebec
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.07 vs 1.63.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Supra du Quebec below our published probability: +3.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Supra du Quebec and York United expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.70
Supra du Quebec and York United attack and defence ratings
Supra du Quebec
York United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Supra du Quebec vs York United: result vs prediction
Supra du Quebec 3 – 0 York United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Supra du Quebec vs York United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Supra du Quebec | 55.5% | 1.80 | +3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Supra du Quebec win | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Supra du Quebec | 55.5% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| York United | 22.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 15.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.2% |
| No | 22.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Supra du Quebec win | 47.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 34.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 7.1% |
| 2-1 | 7.0% | |
| 3-2 | 5.8% |
Supra du Quebec vs York United stats
Supra du Quebec and York United recent form
| Supra du Quebec |
DWWLWL |
| York United |
LLWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Supra du Quebec and York United going into this match
Supra du Quebec record
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
York United record
- They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 26 matches.
Supra du Quebec vs York United head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | York United | Supra du Quebec | Canadian Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2026-08-23 | York United | Supra du Quebec | Canadian Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Supra du Quebec | York United | Canadian Premier League | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Supra du Quebec vs York United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.9%, draw 24.0%, away 22.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 4.10 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 1.52 | 4.45 | 5.40 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.49 | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78 | 3.57 | 3.60 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.80 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .