Canadian Premier League
·
Full time
·Group Stage
Vancouver FC
vs
Forge
1 – 1 Full time
| 16′ | Manjrekar James | ||
| 45′ | Benjamin LeeEmrick Fotsing | ||
| 62′ | Maxime FilionHoce Massunda | ||
| 62′ | Tristan Borgesaghilas sadek | ||
| 64′ | morey doner | ||
| 68′ | Luis Toomey | ||
| 83′ | Aboubacar TraoreNicolás Mezquida | ||
| 84′ | Luis ToomeyCarson Rassak | ||
| 84′ | Noah JensenLevonte Johnson | ||
| 84′ | Lucas CavalliniIsmael Oketokoun Hassane | ||
| 86′ | Nicolás Mezquida | ||
| 90′ | M. BourgeoisBrian Wright | ||
| 90′ | Terran CampbellMarsel Krum Bibishkov | ||
| 90′ | Marcello Polisi |
Vancouver FC
28%
Draw
27%
Forge
45%
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 21 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 330 | Accurate passes | 377 |
Vancouver FC vs Forge overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vancouver FC vs Forge
| Probability | Vancouver FC | Draw | Forge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.6% | 28.0% | 41.4% |
| Market | 26.8% | 26.5% | 46.7% |
| Final | 27.7% | 26.9% | 45.4% |
| Edge | +3.8% | +1.6% | -5.3% |
Why Forge
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
51%
No goals
8%
Vancouver FC and Forge expected goals
Vancouver FC
1.23
Forge
1.47
Total expected goals: 2.71
Vancouver FC and Forge attack and defence ratings
Vancouver FC
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Forge
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
0.68 -32%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vancouver FC vs Forge: result vs prediction
Vancouver FC 1 – 1 Forge
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Vancouver FC vs Forge markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Forge | 45.4% | 2.20 | -5.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vancouver FC | 27.7% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Forge | 45.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Forge win | 20.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 58.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 0-1 | 8.6% |
Vancouver FC vs Forge stats
Vancouver FC and Forge recent form
| Vancouver FC |
DDLWLL |
| Forge |
DWDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vancouver FC and Forge going into this match
Vancouver FC record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Forge record
- They have won 14 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vancouver FC vs Forge head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Vancouver FC wins
2Draws
7Forge wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Forge | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Forge | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2026-04-12 | Vancouver FC | Forge | Canadian Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Forge | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Vancouver FC | Forge | Canadian Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-07-05 | Forge | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-06-15 | Vancouver FC | Forge | Canadian Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-21 | Vancouver FC | Forge | Canadian Premier League | 1-3 |
| 2024-08-18 | Vancouver FC | Forge | Canadian Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2024-07-05 | Forge | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vancouver FC vs Forge odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.8%, draw 26.5%, away 46.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.46 | 3.44 | 1.89 |
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.40 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.90 |
| Marathonbet | 3.38 | 3.44 | 1.87 |
| Pinnacle | 3.56 | 3.34 | 1.95 |
| SBO | 3.10 | 3.00 | 1.91 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.10 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.40 ▼ -0.60
X
3.44 ▼ -0.20
2
1.95 ▲ +0.23
4 snapshots recorded, from .