Canadian Premier League
·
Full time
·Group Stage
Vancouver FC
vs
York United
3 – 3 Full time
| 8′ | morey doner | ||
| 24′ | Jorge Ariel Almagro Albán | ||
| 44′ | Steffen Yeates | ||
| 45′ | Lys MoussetTerran Campbell | ||
| 45′ | Paris GeeBenjamin Lee | ||
| 55′ | Damiano PecileCarson Rassak | ||
| 55′ | Marcello PolisiLuis Toomey | ||
| 68′ | Luca accettolaFrank Sturing | ||
| 71′ | K. Proctor | ||
| 75′ | Raúl LópezBeni Badibanga | ||
| 80′ | Steffen YeatesChimaobim Onyeocha | ||
| 90′ | Luis Toomey | ||
| 90′ | Aboubacar TraoreNicolás Mezquida | ||
| 90′ | Beni Badibanga | ||
| 90′ | Nicolás Mezquida | ||
| 90′ | Tomasz Noah Skublak |
Vancouver FC
53%
Draw
23%
York United
24%
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 50 | Possession % | 50 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 6 |
| 405 | Accurate passes | 412 |
Vancouver FC vs York United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vancouver FC vs York United
| Probability | Vancouver FC | Draw | York United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.2% | 19.6% | 18.2% |
| Market | 49.8% | 23.9% | 26.3% |
| Final | 52.9% | 22.8% | 24.3% |
| Edge | +12.4% | -4.3% | -8.1% |
Why Vancouver FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.50 vs 1.33.
- The market prices Vancouver FC below the model: +12.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
90%
3+ goals
73%
No goals
3%
Vancouver FC and York United expected goals
Vancouver FC
2.50
York United
1.33
Total expected goals: 3.82
Vancouver FC and York United attack and defence ratings
Vancouver FC
Attack
0.98 -2%
Defence
0.99 -1%
York United
Attack
1.02 +2%
Defence
1.52 +52%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vancouver FC vs York United: result vs prediction
Vancouver FC 3 – 3 York United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Vancouver FC vs York United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vancouver FC | 52.9% | 1.89 | +12.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Vancouver FC win | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vancouver FC | 52.9% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| York United | 24.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.2% |
| No | 31.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vancouver FC win | 41.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 37.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.0% |
| 1-1 | 8.0% | |
| 3-1 | 7.5% |
Vancouver FC vs York United stats
Vancouver FC and York United recent form
| Vancouver FC |
DLWLLL |
| York United |
LWDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vancouver FC and York United going into this match
Vancouver FC record
- They have won 9 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
York United record
- They have won 5 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Vancouver FC vs York United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Vancouver FC wins
2Draws
6York United wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | York United | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Vancouver FC | York United | Canadian Premier League | 4-0 |
| 2026-04-19 | York United | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Vancouver FC | York United | Canadian Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-19 | York United | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 4-0 |
| 2025-05-25 | York United | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Vancouver FC | York United | Canadian Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-07 | Vancouver FC | York United | Canadian Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2024-07-20 | Vancouver FC | York United | Canadian Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-06-09 | York United | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vancouver FC vs York United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.8%, draw 23.9%, away 26.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.77 | 3.84 | 3.52 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 4.00 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 3.84 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 3.98 | 3.11 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.83 ▲ +0.03
X
3.82 ▲ +0.06
2
3.47 ▼ -0.08
2 snapshots recorded, from .