Supra du Quebec
vs
Cavalry FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cavalry FC
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry FC
| Probability | Supra du Quebec | Draw | Cavalry FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.7% | 22.5% | 38.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.7% | 22.5% | 38.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry FC match preview
Supra du Quebec faces Cavalry FC in a matchup where both teams have an equal probability of winning at 39%, with a draw at 23%. The model predicts a close contest, with an expected scoreline of 1-2 in favor of Cavalry FC, which has an 8% likelihood. Both teams are showing strong recent form, with Supra du Quebec recording four wins in their last six matches, while Cavalry FC has three wins in their last six.
The model indicates a high likelihood of goals, with over 2.5 goals expected in 75% of scenarios and both teams scoring in 74% of cases. Historically, Cavalry FC has dominated this fixture, winning three out of the last four encounters. The confidence grade for this prediction stands at C, reflecting a balanced matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Supra du Quebec and Cavalry FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.89
Supra du Quebec and Cavalry FC attack and defence ratings
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Semi-finals fixtures
Before and after this match
Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cavalry FC | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Supra du Quebec | 38.7% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Cavalry FC | 38.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.3% |
| No | 25.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cavalry FC win | 21.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.3% | |
| Loss | 61.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.5% |
| 1-2 | 7.5% | |
| 2-1 | 7.5% |
Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry FC stats
Supra du Quebec and Cavalry FC recent form
| Supra du Quebec |
WWDWWL |
| Cavalry FC |
WWDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Supra du Quebec and Cavalry FC season so far
Supra du Quebec record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cavalry FC record
- They have won 17 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry FC head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Cavalry FC | Supra du Quebec | Canadian Premier League | 6-0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Supra du Quebec | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Cavalry FC | Supra du Quebec | Canadian Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Supra du Quebec | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.