Metz vs Laval overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Metz vs Laval
| Probability | Metz | Draw | Laval |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.9% | 29.1% | 38.0% |
| Market | 52.2% | 26.8% | 21.0% |
| Final | 47.4% | 27.4% | 25.2% |
| Edge | -19.3% | +2.3% | +17.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Metz and Laval expected goals
Metz
1.23
Laval
1.34
Total expected goals: 2.56
Metz and Laval attack and defence ratings
Metz
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
1.13 +13%
Laval
Attack
0.98 -2%
Defence
1.08 +8%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Metz vs Laval: result vs prediction
Metz 1 – 1 Laval
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Metz vs Laval markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metz | 47.4% | 2.11 | -19.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metz | 47.4% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Laval | 25.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% |
| No | 46.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Metz win | 14.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 67.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-1 | 9.0% | |
| 0-0 | 9.0% |
Metz vs Laval stats
Metz and Laval recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Metz and Laval going into this match
Laval record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Metz vs Laval head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Metz vs Laval odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.2%, draw 26.8%, away 21.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.83 | 3.45 | 4.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 3.64 | 4.46 |
| 888Sport | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.60 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.85 | 3.55 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 3.64 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80 | 3.65 | 4.72 |
| SBO | 1.81 | 3.19 | 3.80 |
| Superbet | 1.85 | 3.55 | 4.35 |
| Unibet | 1.66 | 3.50 | 4.80 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.50 |