Saint-Etienne
vs
Grenoble
4 – 0 Full time
Saint-Etienne vs Grenoble overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Saint-Etienne vs Grenoble
| Probability | Saint-Etienne | Draw | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.3% | 26.2% | 14.5% |
| Market | 68.2% | 20.2% | 11.6% |
| Final | 66.0% | 21.7% | 12.3% |
| Edge | -8.9% | +6.0% | +2.9% |
Why Saint-Etienne
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 0.71.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Saint-Etienne and Grenoble expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.38
Saint-Etienne and Grenoble attack and defence ratings
Saint-Etienne
Grenoble
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Saint-Etienne vs Grenoble: result vs prediction
Saint-Etienne 4 – 0 Grenoble
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Saint-Etienne vs Grenoble markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Saint-Etienne | 66.0% | 1.52 | -8.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Saint-Etienne | 66.0% |
| Draw | 21.7% | |
| Grenoble | 12.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.3% |
| No | 57.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Saint-Etienne win | 33.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 40.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.4% |
| 2-0 | 12.9% | |
| 1-1 | 12.1% |
Saint-Etienne vs Grenoble stats
Saint-Etienne and Grenoble recent form
| Saint-Etienne |
WWDWLL |
| Grenoble |
DLWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Saint-Etienne and Grenoble going into this match
Grenoble record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Saint-Etienne vs Grenoble head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Grenoble | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 2 | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Saint-Etienne | Grenoble | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Saint-Etienne vs Grenoble odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 68.1%, draw 20.2%, away 11.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.40 | 4.40 | 7.80 |
| 1xBet | 1.36 | 4.80 | 8.05 |
| 888Sport | 1.36 | 4.40 | 7.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 4.20 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.60 | 8.50 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 4.55 | 8.00 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 4.75 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.40 | 4.80 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 4.80 | 8.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 4.91 | 8.11 |
| SBO | 1.34 | 4.34 | 7.62 |
| Superbet | 1.40 | 4.80 | 7.70 |
| Unibet | 1.37 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.40 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .