Nantes vs Rodez overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nantes vs Rodez
| Probability | Nantes | Draw | Rodez |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.4% | 29.5% | 45.1% |
| Market | 51.7% | 25.7% | 22.6% |
| Final | 45.1% | 26.6% | 28.2% |
| Edge | -26.3% | +3.8% | +22.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
43%
No goals
10%
Nantes and Rodez expected goals
Nantes
1.00
Rodez
1.41
Total expected goals: 2.40
Nantes and Rodez attack and defence ratings
Nantes
Attack
0.89 -11%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Rodez
Attack
1.12 +12%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nantes vs Rodez: result vs prediction
Nantes 2 – 5 Rodez
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nantes vs Rodez markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nantes | 45.1% | 2.22 | -26.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nantes | 45.1% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Rodez | 28.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.9% |
| No | 51.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nantes win | 9.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.7% | |
| Loss | 74.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-1 | 11.5% | |
| 0-0 | 10.3% |
Nantes vs Rodez stats
Nantes and Rodez recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nantes and Rodez going into this match
Nantes record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Rodez record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
Nantes vs Rodez head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Nantes vs Rodez odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.7%, draw 25.7%, away 22.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.73 | 3.75 | 4.40 |
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.68 | 4.18 |
| 888Sport | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.65 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.85 | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 3.68 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.73 | 4.15 |
| SBO | 1.67 | 3.46 | 4.15 |
| Superbet | 1.85 | 3.65 | 4.20 |
| Unibet | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.90 |