Guingamp vs Nantes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Guingamp vs Nantes
| Probability | Guingamp | Draw | Nantes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.4% | 31.4% | 35.2% |
| Market | 31.1% | 27.4% | 41.5% |
| Final | 31.7% | 28.4% | 39.9% |
| Edge | +2.3% | +3.9% | -6.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Guingamp and Nantes expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.26
Guingamp and Nantes attack and defence ratings
Guingamp
Nantes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Guingamp vs Nantes: result vs prediction
Guingamp 3 – 3 Nantes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Guingamp vs Nantes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nantes | 39.9% | 2.51 | -6.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guingamp | 31.7% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Nantes | 39.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nantes win | 15.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 64.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 11.8% | |
| 0-1 | 10.7% |
Guingamp vs Nantes stats
Guingamp and Nantes recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Guingamp and Nantes going into this match
Guingamp record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Nantes record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Guingamp vs Nantes head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-19 | Nantes | Guingamp | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
| 2022-07-13 | Nantes | Guingamp | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2021-07-14 | Nantes | Guingamp | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2019-03-03 | Guingamp | Nantes | Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
| 2018-11-04 | Nantes | Guingamp | Ligue 1 | 5-0 |
| 2018-01-27 | Guingamp | Nantes | Ligue 1 | 0-3 |
| 2017-10-21 | Nantes | Guingamp | Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
| 2017-05-14 | Nantes | Guingamp | Ligue 1 | 4-1 |
| 2016-12-03 | Guingamp | Nantes | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Guingamp vs Nantes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.1%, draw 27.4%, away 41.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 2.98 | 3.48 | 2.25 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.35 | 2.34 |
| Marathonbet | 2.97 | 3.48 | 2.23 |
| Pinnacle | 3.02 | 3.52 | 2.27 |
| SBO | 2.73 | 3.07 | 2.18 |
| Superbet | 3.10 | 3.35 | 2.35 |
| Unibet | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.35 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .