Montpellier
vs
Boulogne
0 – 0 Full time
Montpellier vs Boulogne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Montpellier vs Boulogne
| Probability | Montpellier | Draw | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.3% | 31.3% | 13.3% |
| Market | 55.5% | 25.0% | 19.5% |
| Final | 55.4% | 26.6% | 18.0% |
| Edge | -0.1% | +6.3% | -6.2% |
Why Montpellier
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.50.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Montpellier and Boulogne expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.80
Montpellier and Boulogne attack and defence ratings
Montpellier
Boulogne
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Montpellier vs Boulogne: result vs prediction
Montpellier 0 – 0 Boulogne
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Montpellier vs Boulogne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Montpellier | 55.4% | 1.80 | -0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Montpellier | 55.4% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Boulogne | 18.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29.9% |
| No | 70.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Montpellier win | 27.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.1% | |
| Loss | 44.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 20.3% |
| 0-0 | 17.6% | |
| 2-0 | 13.9% |
Montpellier vs Boulogne stats
Montpellier and Boulogne recent form
| Montpellier |
WWDDLW |
| Boulogne |
DLDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Montpellier and Boulogne going into this match
Montpellier record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Boulogne record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Montpellier vs Boulogne head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | Boulogne | Montpellier | Ligue 2 | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Montpellier | Boulogne | Ligue 2 | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Montpellier vs Boulogne odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.5%, draw 25.0%, away 19.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 3.78 | 4.74 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.72 | 3.75 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 3.78 | 4.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 3.76 | 4.92 |
| SBO | 1.62 | 3.37 | 4.24 |
| Superbet | 1.73 | 3.75 | 4.90 |
| Unibet | 1.71 | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .