Annecy vs Metz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Annecy vs Metz
| Probability | Annecy | Draw | Metz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.0% | 25.1% | 20.9% |
| Market | 36.7% | 28.7% | 34.6% |
| Final | 41.1% | 27.8% | 31.2% |
| Edge | +17.3% | -3.7% | -13.6% |
Why Annecy
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Annecy below the model: +17.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Annecy and Metz expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.90
Annecy and Metz attack and defence ratings
Annecy
Metz
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Annecy vs Metz: result vs prediction
Annecy 1 – 1 Metz
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Annecy vs Metz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Annecy | 41.1% | 2.44 | +17.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Annecy | 41.1% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Metz | 31.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.1% |
| No | 43.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Annecy win | 31.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 46.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.2% |
Annecy vs Metz stats
Annecy and Metz recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Annecy and Metz going into this match
Annecy record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Annecy vs Metz head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-08 | Metz | Annecy | Ligue 2 | 5-1 |
| 2024-12-14 | Annecy | Metz | Ligue 2 | 0-0 |
| 2023-03-04 | Annecy | Metz | Ligue 2 | 0-3 |
| 2022-09-02 | Metz | Annecy | Ligue 2 | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Annecy vs Metz odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.7%, draw 28.7%, away 34.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.62 | 3.25 | 2.62 |
| 1xBet | 2.54 | 3.22 | 2.72 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.65 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.54 | 3.22 | 2.72 |
| Pinnacle | 2.54 | 3.38 | 2.73 |
| SBO | 2.33 | 2.96 | 2.60 |
| Superbet | 2.62 | 3.25 | 2.77 |
| Unibet | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.70 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .