Nancy vs Dunkerque overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nancy vs Dunkerque
| Probability | Nancy | Draw | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.3% | 24.8% | 36.9% |
| Market | 37.8% | 27.8% | 34.4% |
| Final | 37.9% | 27.1% | 35.0% |
| Edge | +0.6% | -3.0% | +2.4% |
Why Nancy
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nancy and Dunkerque expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.35
Nancy and Dunkerque attack and defence ratings
Nancy
Dunkerque
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nancy vs Dunkerque: result vs prediction
Nancy 2 – 0 Dunkerque
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nancy vs Dunkerque markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nancy | 37.9% | 2.64 | +0.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nancy | 37.9% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Dunkerque | 35.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.0% |
| No | 33.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nancy win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 61.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.3% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Nancy vs Dunkerque stats
Nancy and Dunkerque recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nancy and Dunkerque going into this match
Nancy record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Nancy vs Dunkerque head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Nancy | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 | 3-2 |
| 2025-08-22 | Dunkerque | Nancy | Ligue 2 | 1-3 |
| 2023-02-03 | Dunkerque | Nancy | Ligue 3 | 2-3 |
| 2022-08-26 | Nancy | Dunkerque | Ligue 3 | 1-2 |
| 2022-02-19 | Nancy | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 | 2-0 |
| 2021-09-11 | Dunkerque | Nancy | Ligue 2 | 0-0 |
| 2021-02-13 | Dunkerque | Nancy | Ligue 2 | 1-2 |
| 2020-10-17 | Nancy | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nancy vs Dunkerque odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.8%, draw 27.8%, away 34.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| 1xBet | 2.42 | 3.44 | 2.71 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.25 | 2.80 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.35 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.42 | 3.44 | 2.71 |
| Pinnacle | 2.47 | 3.38 | 2.82 |
| SBO | 2.35 | 3.05 | 2.50 |
| Superbet | 2.57 | 3.35 | 2.75 |
| Unibet | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .