Ligue 2 · Full time ·Matchday 5

Nantes vs Nancy

1 – 0 Full time

12′Frédéric Guilbert
20′Grégory Poirier
32′Elydjah Mendy
32′Kouroufia Kebe
38′Pape Meissa Ba
38′Nordine KandilLogan Ndenbe
45′Frédéric GuilbertFode Doucoure
45′Pape Meissa BaMamadou Fofana
46′Yannis Nahounou
50′Wilitty Younoussa
52′Wilitty YounoussaBalthazar Pierret
64′Mamadou Fofana
70′Zakaria FdaouchNoam Obougou
70′Mamadou FofanaEl Hadari Raheriniaina
70′Dehmaine TabibouAntoine Joujou
71′Mathieu CafaroIgniatius Ganago
84′Ryad HachemIbrahima Sissoko
86′Enzo TacafredAdrian Dabasse

Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes

Nantes 44%
Draw 27%
Nancy 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 5
1 Shots on target 0
57 Possession % 43
4 Corners 1
15 Fouls 16
3 Offsides 2
0 Saves 1
438 Accurate passes 306

Nantes vs Nancy overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Nantes vs Nancy

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNantesDrawNancy
Model25.3%27.5%47.2%
Market49.8%26.8%23.4%
Final43.7%26.9%29.4%
Edge-24.5%+0.7%+23.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Nantes ↓ / Nancy → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 10% 9% 1 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Nantes and Nancy expected goals

Nantes 1.10
Nancy 1.58

Total expected goals: 2.68

Nantes and Nancy attack and defence ratings

Nantes

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Nancy

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Nantes vs Nancy: result vs prediction

Nantes 1 – 0 Nancy

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Ligue 2

Before and after this match

Nantes vs Nancy markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Nantes 43.7% 2.29 -24.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.1% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.2% 1.85 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.1% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.7% 1.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Nantes43.7%
Draw26.9%
Nancy29.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.1%
Under 2.549.9%
Both teams to scoreYes54.2%
No45.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.6%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)56.3%
Handicap -1Nantes win10.2%
Push (exactly one goal)15.1%
Loss74.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.1%
0-19.6%
1-29.4%

Nantes vs Nancy stats

Nantes and Nancy recent form

newest first
Nantes DLLLDL
Nancy WWLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Nantes and Nancy going into this match

league record before kick-off

Nantes record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Nancy record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Nantes vs Nancy head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Nantes wins 1Draws 2Nancy wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2017-02-05NantesNancyLigue 10-2
2017-01-10NantesNancyCoupe de la Ligue0-2
2016-09-17NancyNantesLigue 11-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Nantes vs Nancy odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.8%, draw 26.8%, away 23.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.90 3.45 3.95
1xBet 1.85 3.55 4.08
Bet365 1.80 3.25 4.00
BetVictor 1.85 3.60 4.00
Betano 1.91 3.45 4.20
Betfair 1.90 3.60 3.80
Dafabet 1.99 3.45 3.90
Marathonbet 1.83 3.55 4.10
Pinnacle 1.88 3.65 4.26
SBO 1.88 3.26 3.67
Superbet 1.92 3.50 4.10
Unibet 1.79 3.55 4.30
William Hill 1.85 3.30 3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.88 ▼ -0.02
X 3.50 ▲ +0.02
2 4.00 ▲ +0.15

14 snapshots recorded, from .