PAU
vs
Sochaux
1 – 1 Full time
| 20′ | Samy Baghdadi | ||
| 29′ | L. Rajot | ||
| 34′ | Saad Agouzoul | ||
| 52′ | Saad Agouzoul | ||
| 52′ | Saad Agouzoul | ||
| 56′ | S. BaghdadiB. Youssouf | ||
| 56′ | L. NomelB. Gomel | ||
| 65′ | D. GomisD. Tavares | ||
| 65′ | B. FofanaM. Clairicia | ||
| 66′ | M. Clairicia | ||
| 68′ | L. RajotL. Gadegbeku | ||
| 72′ | B. LeyeA. Lefebvre | ||
| 72′ | C. FallB. Brahimi | ||
| 82′ | T. PouillyM. Tourraine | ||
| 82′ | A. BrianconR. Mimb Baheng | ||
| 82′ | K. DjocoJ. Mexique | ||
| 90′ | Mathys Tourraine |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 7 | Offsides | 4 |
| 3 | Saves | 6 |
| 344 | Accurate passes | 283 |
PAU vs Sochaux overview
Garuda Lions analysis: PAU vs Sochaux
| Probability | PAU | Draw | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.2% | 24.9% | 55.0% |
| Market | 40.9% | 29.1% | 30.0% |
| Final | 35.7% | 28.1% | 36.2% |
| Edge | -20.7% | -4.3% | +25.0% |
Why Sochaux
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sochaux below the model: +25.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
PAU and Sochaux expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.88
PAU and Sochaux attack and defence ratings
PAU
Sochaux
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
PAU vs Sochaux: result vs prediction
PAU 1 – 1 Sochaux
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
PAU vs Sochaux markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sochaux | 36.2% | 2.76 | +25.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PAU | 35.7% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Sochaux | 36.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% |
| No | 44.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sochaux win | 32.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 45.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.5% |
PAU vs Sochaux stats
PAU and Sochaux recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
PAU and Sochaux going into this match
PAU record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sochaux record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
PAU vs Sochaux head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-15 | Sochaux | PAU | Ligue 2 | 2-3 |
| 2022-08-20 | PAU | Sochaux | Ligue 2 | 0-3 |
| 2022-04-22 | PAU | Sochaux | Ligue 2 | 0-1 |
| 2021-12-03 | Sochaux | PAU | Ligue 2 | 2-1 |
| 2021-04-17 | Sochaux | PAU | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
| 2020-12-15 | PAU | Sochaux | Ligue 2 | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
PAU vs Sochaux odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.9%, draw 29.1%, away 30.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.31 | 3.20 | 3.11 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.25 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.32 | 3.30 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.28 | 3.20 | 3.12 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37 | 3.27 | 3.22 |
| SBO | 2.13 | 2.99 | 2.89 |
| Superbet | 2.20 | 3.35 | 3.35 |
| Unibet | 2.18 | 3.15 | 3.30 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .