Boulogne
vs
Dijon
1 – 1 Full time
| 27′ | Aurelien Platret | ||
| 37′ | T. Epailly | ||
| 56′ | Julien Boyer | ||
| 56′ | Ben-Chayeel Hamada | ||
| 57′ | B. HamadaQ. Bernard | ||
| 63′ | T. Dong | ||
| 70′ | A. NtamackE. Lago | ||
| 71′ | M. BarretoA. Lembezat | ||
| 71′ | J. MarieP. Bellon | ||
| 73′ | J. BoyerM. Mion | ||
| 73′ | N. BinetJ. Bultel | ||
| 73′ | T. EpaillyN. Fatar | ||
| 84′ | B. BesicL. Etonde | ||
| 87′ | T. DongH. Vargas-Rios | ||
| 90′ | Waly Diouf |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Offsides | 3 |
| 6 | Saves | 2 |
| 323 | Accurate passes | 406 |
Boulogne vs Dijon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Boulogne vs Dijon
| Probability | Boulogne | Draw | Dijon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.7% | 32.3% | 44.0% |
| Market | 32.5% | 30.2% | 37.4% |
| Final | 30.3% | 30.7% | 39.0% |
| Edge | -8.8% | +2.2% | +6.6% |
Why Dijon
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.21 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Dijon below the model: +6.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Boulogne and Dijon expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.04
Boulogne and Dijon attack and defence ratings
Boulogne
Dijon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Boulogne vs Dijon: result vs prediction
Boulogne 1 – 1 Dijon
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Boulogne vs Dijon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dijon | 39.0% | 2.56 | +6.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boulogne | 30.3% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| Dijon | 39.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.7% |
| No | 59.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dijon win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 56.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 14.4% | |
| 1-1 | 14.3% |
Boulogne vs Dijon stats
Boulogne and Dijon recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Boulogne and Dijon going into this match
Boulogne record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dijon record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Boulogne vs Dijon head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-09 | Dijon | Boulogne | Ligue 3 | 0-3 |
| 2025-01-17 | Boulogne | Dijon | Ligue 3 | 2-2 |
| 2011-05-20 | Dijon | Boulogne | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
| 2010-12-21 | Boulogne | Dijon | Ligue 2 | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Boulogne vs Dijon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.5%, draw 30.2%, away 37.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| 1xBet | 2.92 | 3.12 | 2.47 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 2.90 | 2.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.15 | 2.57 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.91 | 3.12 | 2.45 |
| Pinnacle | 3.05 | 3.14 | 2.55 |
| SBO | 2.51 | 2.84 | 2.51 |
| Superbet | 2.77 | 3.10 | 2.75 |
| Unibet | 2.88 | 3.05 | 2.48 |
| William Hill | 2.88 | 2.90 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .