Ligue 2 · Full time ·Matchday 5

Grenoble vs Annecy

1 – 2 Full time

23′Antoine Larose
28′Gabin Secrétant
56′K. YoungZ. Redmond
56′M. DionT. Rambaud
66′T. Rambaud
67′G. SecretantJ. Do Marcolino
67′A. LaroseP. Venot
73′L. BernadouU. Bonnet
74′S. Diba
79′S. DibaJ. Mouton
79′B. MouazanM. Bangre
84′M. KoneP. Mozie
90′Thibault Rambaud
90′J. Akpa AkproD. Hoogewerf
90′Y. MagninM. Bechikh
90′P. Venot

Stade des Alpes, GrenobleReferee: Gael Angoula, France

Grenoble 29%
Draw 30%
Annecy 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
45 Possession % 55
5 Corners 6
12 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 1
2 Saves 1
258 Accurate passes 345

Grenoble vs Annecy overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Grenoble vs Annecy

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGrenobleDrawAnnecy
Model27.2%27.8%45.0%
Market29.2%30.2%40.6%
Final28.7%29.6%41.7%
Edge-2.1%-2.3%+4.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Annecy

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 1.14.
  • The market prices Annecy below the model: +4.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Grenoble ↓ / Annecy → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 8% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Grenoble and Annecy expected goals

Grenoble 1.14
Annecy 1.53

Total expected goals: 2.67

Grenoble and Annecy attack and defence ratings

Grenoble

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Annecy

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Grenoble vs Annecy: result vs prediction

Grenoble 1 – 2 Annecy

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Ligue 2

Before and after this match

Grenoble vs Annecy markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Annecy 41.7% 2.40 +4.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.1% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.5% 1.84 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 71.3% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.0% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Grenoble28.7%
Draw29.6%
Annecy41.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.9%
Under 2.550.1%
Both teams to scoreYes54.5%
No45.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.3%
12 (either side)70.4%
X2 (draw or away)71.3%
Handicap -1Annecy win23.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss55.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
0-19.4%
1-29.2%

Grenoble vs Annecy stats

Grenoble and Annecy recent form

newest first
Grenoble WLDLWW
Annecy DLWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Grenoble and Annecy going into this match

league record before kick-off

Grenoble record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Annecy record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Grenoble vs Annecy head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Grenoble wins 3Draws 3Annecy wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-06AnnecyGrenobleLigue 21-1
2025-11-28AnnecyGrenobleCoupe de France1-2
2025-09-19GrenobleAnnecyLigue 21-3
2025-05-10AnnecyGrenobleLigue 23-1
2024-10-29GrenobleAnnecyLigue 20-0
2024-04-20AnnecyGrenobleLigue 20-1
2023-12-16GrenobleAnnecyLigue 21-0
2023-03-11GrenobleAnnecyLigue 22-1
2022-12-17GrenobleAnnecyFriendlies Clubs0-2
2022-08-27AnnecyGrenobleLigue 20-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Grenoble vs Annecy odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.2%, draw 30.2%, away 40.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.10 3.20 2.33
1xBet 3.11 3.10 2.37
Bet365 3.20 3.00 2.15
BetVictor 3.10 3.10 2.38
Betano 3.40 3.10 2.32
Betfair 3.40 3.00 2.20
Dafabet 3.35 3.15 2.31
Marathonbet 3.30 3.12 2.23
Pinnacle 3.47 3.18 2.29
SBO 2.70 2.95 2.27
Superbet 3.00 3.15 2.50
Unibet 3.20 3.10 2.28
William Hill 3.00 2.90 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.20 ▲ +0.23
X 3.10 ▼ -0.08
2 2.30 ▼ -0.12

9 snapshots recorded, from .