Ligue 2 · Full time ·Matchday 6

Rodez vs Grenoble

0 – 1 Full time

11′Matthéo Xantippe
42′Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro
45′Clement Vidal
60′Baptiste MouazanYvann Macon
66′Kelian NsonaMathis Touho
66′Damjan PavlovićMathis Saka
74′Ugo BonnetKyliann Fofana
74′Lucas BernadouMael Corboz
75′Samba Lele Diba
77′Corentin Issanchou RoubiouNachon Nsingi
77′Ryan PontiJean Lambert Evan's
86′Matthéo XantippeChrist-Owen Kouassi
86′Jean-Guy Akpa AkproMoussa Djitté
87′Antonin CartillierMarco Essimi
87′Yvann Macon

Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez

Rodez 50%
Draw 26%
Grenoble 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

22 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 1
57 Possession % 43
10 Corners 1
20 Fouls 17
0 Offsides 2
0 Saves 7
373 Accurate passes 282

Rodez vs Grenoble overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rodez vs Grenoble

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRodezDrawGrenoble
Model50.8%23.7%25.5%
Market49.5%26.8%23.7%
Final49.8%26.1%24.1%
Edge+1.3%-3.1%+1.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Rodez

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.36.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rodez ↓ / Grenoble → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 10% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Rodez and Grenoble expected goals

Rodez 1.98
Grenoble 1.36

Total expected goals: 3.34

Rodez and Grenoble attack and defence ratings

Rodez

Attack 1.36 +36%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Grenoble

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rodez vs Grenoble: result vs prediction

Rodez 0 – 1 Grenoble

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Ligue 2

Before and after this match

Rodez vs Grenoble markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rodez 49.8% 2.01 +1.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.9% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.1% 1.54 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.9% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.2% 2.03 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rodez49.8%
Draw26.1%
Grenoble24.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.9%
Under 2.535.1%
Both teams to scoreYes65.1%
No34.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.9%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)50.2%
Handicap -1Rodez win30.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss49.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.5%
2-19.4%
2-06.9%

Rodez vs Grenoble stats

Rodez and Grenoble recent form

newest first
Rodez LDWLWD
Grenoble LWLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rodez and Grenoble going into this match

league record before kick-off

Rodez record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.

Grenoble record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rodez vs Grenoble head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Rodez wins 2Draws 4Grenoble wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-06RodezGrenobleLigue 21-0
2025-11-07GrenobleRodezLigue 22-1
2025-07-25GrenobleRodezFriendlies Clubs1-0
2025-01-31GrenobleRodezLigue 22-1
2024-10-04RodezGrenobleLigue 22-1
2024-07-19RodezGrenobleFriendlies Clubs0-0
2024-03-16RodezGrenobleLigue 23-1
2023-11-25GrenobleRodezLigue 22-1
2023-07-29GrenobleRodezFriendlies Clubs0-2
2023-05-19GrenobleRodezLigue 21-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rodez vs Grenoble odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.1%, draw 26.3%, away 20.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.70 3.70 4.80
1xBet 1.86 3.50 4.12
888Sport 1.67 3.40 4.80
Bet365 1.85 3.30 3.75
BetVictor 1.90 3.60 3.75
Betano 1.72 3.55 5.40
Betfair 1.70 3.80 4.75
Dafabet 1.76 3.65 4.80
Marathonbet 1.83 3.52 4.15
Pinnacle 1.93 3.44 4.27
SBO 1.60 3.44 4.30
Superbet 1.75 3.70 4.75
Unibet 1.67 3.80 4.80
William Hill 1.91 3.40 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.88 ▲ +0.17
X 3.47 ▼ -0.21
2 3.94 ▼ -1.01

12 snapshots recorded, from .