Rodez
vs
Nancy
3 – 4 Full time
| 4′ | Ilyes Housni | ||
| 7′ | Yannis Nahounou | ||
| 16′ | Loni Laurent | ||
| 20′ | Raphael Lipinski | ||
| 20′ | Zakaria Fdaouch | ||
| 47′ | Pape Meissa Ba | ||
| 51′ | Nehemiah Fernandez | ||
| 59′ | Jean Lambert Evan's | ||
| 64′ | Steven Luyambula BiwaCorentin Issanchou Roubiou | ||
| 64′ | Nachon NsingiKenny Nagera | ||
| 64′ | Nordine KandilZakaria Fdaouch | ||
| 72′ | Mathis Saka | ||
| 74′ | Pape Meissa Ba | ||
| 80′ | Jean Lambert Evan'sRyan Ponti | ||
| 80′ | Mathis SakaOctave Joly | ||
| 80′ | Loni LaurentDamjan Pavlović | ||
| 86′ | El Hadari RaheriniainaChafik El Hansar | ||
| 86′ | Pape Meissa BaMamadou Fofana | ||
| 90′ | Mathis Magnin | ||
| 90′ | Walid BouabdeliJeremy Gelin |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 24 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 249 | Accurate passes | 448 |
Rodez vs Nancy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rodez vs Nancy
| Probability | Rodez | Draw | Nancy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.6% | 26.5% | 29.9% |
| Market | 40.1% | 27.5% | 32.3% |
| Final | 41.0% | 27.3% | 31.7% |
| Edge | +3.5% | -1.0% | -2.5% |
Why Rodez
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.31.
- The market prices Rodez below the model: +3.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rodez and Nancy expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
Rodez and Nancy attack and defence ratings
Rodez
Nancy
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rodez vs Nancy: result vs prediction
Rodez 3 – 4 Nancy
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rodez vs Nancy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rodez | 41.0% | 2.44 | +3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rodez | 41.0% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Nancy | 31.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% |
| No | 40.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rodez win | 23.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 56.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-0 | 7.5% |
Rodez vs Nancy stats
Rodez and Nancy recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rodez and Nancy going into this match
Rodez record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Nancy record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Rodez vs Nancy head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | Nancy | Rodez | Ligue 2 | 1-3 |
| 2025-08-09 | Rodez | Nancy | Ligue 2 | 0-0 |
| 2022-04-19 | Rodez | Nancy | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
| 2021-11-20 | Nancy | Rodez | Ligue 2 | 0-2 |
| 2021-05-08 | Rodez | Nancy | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
| 2021-01-08 | Nancy | Rodez | Ligue 2 | 2-2 |
| 2020-02-07 | Rodez | Nancy | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
| 2019-08-30 | Nancy | Rodez | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rodez vs Nancy odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.1%, draw 27.5%, away 32.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.35 | 3.38 | 2.87 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.88 |
| Marathonbet | 2.33 | 3.38 | 2.86 |
| Pinnacle | 2.43 | 3.42 | 2.98 |
| SBO | 2.32 | 3.16 | 2.75 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.88 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .