Nancy vs Guingamp overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nancy vs Guingamp
| Probability | Nancy | Draw | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.5% | 24.8% | 25.7% |
| Market | 49.3% | 26.0% | 24.7% |
| Final | 49.4% | 25.7% | 25.0% |
| Edge | +0.2% | -1.1% | +0.9% |
Why Nancy
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.29.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nancy and Guingamp expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.13
Nancy and Guingamp attack and defence ratings
Nancy
Guingamp
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nancy vs Guingamp: result vs prediction
Nancy 1 – 0 Guingamp
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nancy vs Guingamp markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nancy | 49.4% | 2.03 | +0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nancy | 49.4% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Guingamp | 25.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% |
| No | 38.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nancy win | 28.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 50.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.4% |
Nancy vs Guingamp stats
Nancy and Guingamp recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nancy and Guingamp going into this match
Nancy record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Guingamp record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Nancy vs Guingamp head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Nancy | Guingamp | Ligue 2 | 0-3 |
| 2025-10-03 | Guingamp | Nancy | Ligue 2 | 2-2 |
| 2022-03-19 | Guingamp | Nancy | Ligue 2 | 3-1 |
| 2021-10-16 | Nancy | Guingamp | Ligue 2 | 2-1 |
| 2021-07-17 | Nancy | Guingamp | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2021-01-16 | Guingamp | Nancy | Ligue 2 | 0-0 |
| 2020-08-29 | Nancy | Guingamp | Ligue 2 | 2-2 |
| 2020-02-15 | Nancy | Guingamp | Ligue 2 | 0-1 |
| 2019-09-13 | Guingamp | Nancy | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
| 2019-01-22 | Nancy | Guingamp | Coupe de France | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nancy vs Guingamp odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.3%, draw 26.0%, away 24.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.93 | 3.64 | 3.63 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.20 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.55 | 4.00 |
| Betfair | 1.87 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.96 | 3.60 | 3.85 |
| Marathonbet | 1.91 | 3.64 | 3.64 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.86 | 3.98 |
| SBO | 1.91 | 3.21 | 3.40 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .