PAU vs Laval overview
Garuda Lions analysis: PAU vs Laval
| Probability | PAU | Draw | Laval |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.1% | 28.7% | 31.2% |
| Market | 45.8% | 27.5% | 26.7% |
| Final | 44.3% | 27.8% | 27.9% |
| Edge | -5.7% | +1.1% | +4.5% |
Why PAU
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
PAU and Laval expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
PAU and Laval attack and defence ratings
PAU
Laval
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
PAU vs Laval: result vs prediction
PAU 3 – 2 Laval
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
PAU vs Laval markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PAU | 44.3% | 2.26 | -5.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PAU | 44.3% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Laval | 27.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% |
| No | 45.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | PAU win | 19.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 59.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 8.7% |
PAU vs Laval stats
PAU and Laval recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
PAU and Laval going into this match
PAU record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Laval record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
PAU vs Laval head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | Laval | PAU | Ligue 2 | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-23 | PAU | Laval | Ligue 2 | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-31 | PAU | Laval | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-27 | Laval | PAU | Ligue 2 | 3-1 |
| 2024-04-20 | PAU | Laval | Ligue 2 | 3-0 |
| 2023-12-16 | Laval | PAU | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-18 | PAU | Laval | Ligue 2 | 0-1 |
| 2022-09-10 | Laval | PAU | Ligue 2 | 0-1 |
| 2019-10-18 | Laval | PAU | Ligue 3 | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
PAU vs Laval odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.8%, draw 27.5%, away 26.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 3.46 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.12 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.97 | 3.46 | 3.60 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 3.27 | 3.89 |
| SBO | 2.04 | 3.06 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .