Nantes
vs
Reims
Garuda Lions Prediction: Nantes
2 – 1 Predicted score · 6% model probability
Nantes vs Reims overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nantes vs Reims
| Probability | Nantes | Draw | Reims |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.2% | 23.5% | 54.3% |
| Market | 44.6% | 27.2% | 28.1% |
| Final | 39.0% | 26.3% | 34.7% |
| Edge | -22.4% | -3.8% | +26.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.16, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Nantes vs Reims match preview
Nantes will host Reims in a closely contested Ligue 2 match on October 10, 2026. The model indicates a slight edge for Nantes with a 37% probability of winning, while Reims stands at 36%. The expected goals suggest a competitive match, with Nantes at 1.24 and Reims at 2.01. Recent form shows Nantes struggling with two losses in their last three matches, while Reims has been more consistent, with three wins in their last six outings.
Historically, the last four encounters between these teams have been evenly matched, with Nantes securing one win, one draw, and Reims taking two victories. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Nantes, occurring with a 6% probability. Additionally, there is a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 62%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nantes and Reims expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.24
Nantes and Reims attack and defence ratings
Nantes
Reims
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nantes vs Reims markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nantes | 39.0% | 2.56 | -22.4% | 2.16 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nantes | 39.0% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Reims | 34.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.4% |
| No | 37.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nantes win | 9.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.0% | |
| Loss | 77.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 7.9% |
Nantes vs Reims stats
Nantes and Reims recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nantes and Reims season so far
Nantes record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
Reims record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
Nantes vs Reims head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-02 | Reims | Nantes | Ligue 1 | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-15 | Nantes | Reims | Ligue 1 | 1-2 |
| 2024-01-28 | Reims | Nantes | Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
| 2023-11-05 | Nantes | Reims | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2023-04-02 | Nantes | Reims | Ligue 1 | 0-3 |
| 2022-11-06 | Reims | Nantes | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2022-02-13 | Nantes | Reims | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2021-09-26 | Reims | Nantes | Ligue 1 | 3-1 |
| 2021-03-03 | Nantes | Reims | Ligue 1 | 1-2 |
| 2020-12-16 | Reims | Nantes | Ligue 1 | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nantes vs Reims odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.6%, draw 27.2%, away 28.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 3.48 | 3.38 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.45 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.16 | 3.45 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 3.48 | 3.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13 | 3.42 | 3.39 |
| SBO | 2.09 | 3.01 | 2.93 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .