Boulogne
vs
Nantes
1 – 2 Full time
| 35′ | Frédéric Guilbert | ||
| 49′ | Igniatius Ganago | ||
| 52′ | Nolan Binet | ||
| 53′ | Abdel HbouchMohamed Soumah | ||
| 62′ | Balthazar PierretJohann Lepenant | ||
| 62′ | Mathieu CafaroAntoine Joujou | ||
| 65′ | Joffrey BultelJonas Martin | ||
| 77′ | Mathieu Mion | ||
| 82′ | Noah FatarAurelien Platret | ||
| 82′ | Benjamin BesicLuderic Etonde | ||
| 82′ | Theo EpaillySonny Duflos | ||
| 83′ | Ryad HachemLouis Leroux | ||
| 83′ | Igniatius GanagoAmin Cherni | ||
| 90′ | Fode DoucoureDehmaine Tabibou | ||
| 90′ | Mathieu Mion | ||
| 90′ | Blondy Nna Noukeu | ||
| 90′ | Thomas Robinet |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Offsides | 4 |
| 0 | Saves | 1 |
| 274 | Accurate passes | 278 |
Boulogne vs Nantes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Boulogne vs Nantes
| Probability | Boulogne | Draw | Nantes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.1% | 35.9% | 29.9% |
| Market | 27.2% | 29.3% | 43.5% |
| Final | 28.9% | 31.0% | 40.1% |
| Edge | +7.0% | +6.6% | -13.6% |
Why Nantes
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Boulogne and Nantes expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.76
Boulogne and Nantes attack and defence ratings
Boulogne
Nantes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Boulogne vs Nantes: result vs prediction
Boulogne 1 – 2 Nantes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Boulogne vs Nantes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nantes | 40.1% | 2.49 | -13.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boulogne | 28.9% |
| Draw | 31.0% | |
| Nantes | 40.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.6% |
| No | 64.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nantes win | 10.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 70.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.5% |
| 1-1 | 14.6% | |
| 1-0 | 14.5% |
Boulogne vs Nantes stats
Boulogne and Nantes recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Boulogne and Nantes going into this match
Boulogne record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They average 0.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nantes record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Boulogne vs Nantes head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-03-16 | Nantes | Boulogne | Ligue 2 | 3-3 |
| 2011-10-24 | Boulogne | Nantes | Ligue 2 | 2-1 |
| 2011-04-04 | Nantes | Boulogne | Ligue 2 | 1-2 |
| 2010-10-18 | Boulogne | Nantes | Ligue 2 | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Boulogne vs Nantes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.2%, draw 29.3%, away 43.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.44 | 3.30 | 2.10 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.15 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.15 |
| Marathonbet | 3.44 | 3.30 | 2.08 |
| Pinnacle | 3.66 | 3.11 | 2.25 |
| SBO | 2.99 | 2.90 | 2.12 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .