Metz
vs
Saint-Etienne
2 – 2 Full time
| 12′ | Sohaib Nair | ||
| 30′ | Believe Munongo | ||
| 38′ | Augustine Boakye | ||
| 52′ | Jessy Deminguet | ||
| 58′ | Thierno BalloZuriko Davitashvili | ||
| 67′ | Kevin Pedro | ||
| 71′ | Augustine Boakye | ||
| 72′ | Hamza KadamaniJahyann Pandore | ||
| 72′ | Believe MunongoAbdourahmane Mbodj | ||
| 79′ | Abdourahmane Mbodj | ||
| 80′ | Jakob BreumTamar Svetlin | ||
| 80′ | Irvin CardonaJoshua Duffus | ||
| 81′ | Julien Le Cardinal | ||
| 83′ | Jean RuizIdris Mohamed | ||
| 86′ | Augustine BoakyeAdam Baallal | ||
| 86′ | Julien Le CardinalChico Lamba | ||
| 89′ | Jessy Deminguet | ||
| 90′ | Kevin Pedro |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Offsides | 4 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 411 | Accurate passes | 340 |
Metz vs Saint-Etienne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Metz vs Saint-Etienne
| Probability | Metz | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.1% | 22.8% | 58.1% |
| Market | 26.2% | 25.8% | 48.0% |
| Final | 24.4% | 25.0% | 50.5% |
| Edge | -7.1% | -3.0% | +10.1% |
Why Saint-Etienne
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 1.12.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Saint-Etienne below the model: +10.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Metz and Saint-Etienne expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.19
Metz and Saint-Etienne attack and defence ratings
Metz
Saint-Etienne
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Metz vs Saint-Etienne: result vs prediction
Metz 2 – 2 Saint-Etienne
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Metz vs Saint-Etienne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Saint-Etienne | 50.5% | 1.98 | +10.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metz | 24.4% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Saint-Etienne | 50.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% |
| No | 40.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Saint-Etienne win | 36.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 41.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 8.8% |
Metz vs Saint-Etienne stats
Metz and Saint-Etienne recent form
| Metz |
LWDDDW |
| Saint-Etienne |
LWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Metz and Saint-Etienne going into this match
Metz record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
Saint-Etienne record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 2.3 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Metz vs Saint-Etienne head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | Metz | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 1 | 2-2 |
| 2024-05-30 | Saint-Etienne | Metz | Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-22 | Saint-Etienne | Metz | Ligue 2 | 1-3 |
| 2022-11-07 | Metz | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 2 | 3-2 |
| 2022-03-06 | Saint-Etienne | Metz | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2021-10-30 | Metz | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2021-02-07 | Saint-Etienne | Metz | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2020-10-25 | Metz | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2020-02-02 | Metz | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 1 | 3-1 |
| 2019-09-25 | Saint-Etienne | Metz | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Metz vs Saint-Etienne odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.5%, draw 25.8%, away 47.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.62 | 3.62 | 1.94 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.70 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 3.55 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 3.62 | 3.62 | 1.92 |
| Pinnacle | 3.77 | 3.66 | 1.99 |
| SBO | 3.02 | 3.09 | 2.02 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .