Saint-Etienne
vs
Rodez
2 – 0 Full time
| 15′ | Thierno Ballo | ||
| 27′ | Luzolo VangiRyan Ponti | ||
| 37′ | Jordan Mendes | ||
| 45′ | Mathis Saka | ||
| 55′ | Augustine Boakye | ||
| 66′ | Áron Csongvai | ||
| 68′ | Nachon NsingiMathis Touho | ||
| 68′ | Steven Luyambula BiwaKelian Nsona | ||
| 71′ | Irvin CardonaJoshua Duffus | ||
| 72′ | Jakob BreumAdam Baallal | ||
| 77′ | Mathis SakaMarco Essimi | ||
| 77′ | Kenny NageraOctave Joly | ||
| 79′ | Augustine Boakyeelyes dhaoui | ||
| 80′ | Ben OldNathan Kasia Nkondo | ||
| 87′ | I. Cathro | ||
| 88′ | Gautier LarsonneurMamour Ndiaye |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 4 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 514 | Accurate passes | 266 |
Saint-Etienne vs Rodez overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Saint-Etienne vs Rodez
| Probability | Saint-Etienne | Draw | Rodez |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.1% | 17.5% | 18.4% |
| Market | 69.4% | 18.0% | 12.6% |
| Final | 68.1% | 17.9% | 14.0% |
| Edge | -1.3% | -0.1% | +1.5% |
Why Saint-Etienne
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.88 vs 1.57.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Saint-Etienne and Rodez expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.45
Saint-Etienne and Rodez attack and defence ratings
Saint-Etienne
Rodez
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Saint-Etienne vs Rodez: result vs prediction
Saint-Etienne 2 – 0 Rodez
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Saint-Etienne vs Rodez markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Saint-Etienne | 68.1% | 1.47 | -1.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Saint-Etienne win | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Saint-Etienne | 68.1% |
| Draw | 17.9% | |
| Rodez | 14.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.3% |
| No | 24.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Saint-Etienne win | 45.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 35.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.6% |
| 3-1 | 7.3% | |
| 2-2 | 6.0% |
Saint-Etienne vs Rodez stats
Saint-Etienne and Rodez recent form
| Saint-Etienne |
DLWWWW |
| Rodez |
LLLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Saint-Etienne and Rodez going into this match
Saint-Etienne record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Rodez record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Saint-Etienne vs Rodez head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Saint-Etienne | Rodez | Ligue 2 | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Rodez | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 2 | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Saint-Etienne | Rodez | Ligue 2 | 4-0 |
| 2024-05-24 | Saint-Etienne | Rodez | Ligue 2 | 2-0 |
| 2024-05-10 | Saint-Etienne | Rodez | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
| 2023-08-12 | Rodez | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 2 | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-29 | Rodez | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
| 2022-11-12 | Saint-Etienne | Rodez | Ligue 2 | 0-2 |
| 2022-10-29 | Saint-Etienne | Rodez | Coupe de France | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Saint-Etienne vs Rodez odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 69.4%, draw 18.0%, away 12.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.34 | 5.25 | 7.38 |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 5.25 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.38 | 5.20 | 7.70 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.39 | 5.40 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 5.25 | 7.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37 | 5.20 | 8.11 |
| SBO | 1.34 | 4.64 | 6.09 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.75 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
16 snapshots recorded, from .