Montpellier
vs
Grenoble
2 – 0 Full time
Montpellier vs Grenoble overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Montpellier vs Grenoble
| Probability | Montpellier | Draw | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.1% | 33.9% | 25.0% |
| Market | 58.7% | 24.3% | 17.1% |
| Final | 54.3% | 26.7% | 19.0% |
| Edge | -17.5% | +9.6% | +7.9% |
Why Montpellier
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.10 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Montpellier and Grenoble expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.90
Montpellier and Grenoble attack and defence ratings
Montpellier
Grenoble
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Montpellier vs Grenoble: result vs prediction
Montpellier 2 – 0 Grenoble
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Montpellier vs Grenoble markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Montpellier | 54.3% | 1.84 | -17.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Montpellier | 54.3% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Grenoble | 19.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.1% |
| No | 61.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Montpellier win | 17.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 58.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.2% |
| 1-0 | 15.1% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
Montpellier vs Grenoble stats
Montpellier and Grenoble recent form
| Montpellier |
DWLDWW |
| Grenoble |
DWLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Montpellier and Grenoble going into this match
Montpellier record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Grenoble record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Montpellier vs Grenoble head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Montpellier | Grenoble | Ligue 2 | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Grenoble | Montpellier | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Montpellier vs Grenoble odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.7%, draw 24.3%, away 17.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 3.88 | 5.46 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.50 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.85 | 5.50 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.63 | 3.95 | 5.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 3.88 | 5.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63 | 3.89 | 5.79 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.45 | 4.79 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .