Ligue 2 Β· Β·Matchday 9

Grenoble vs Boulogne

Garuda Lions Prediction: Grenoble

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 17% model probability

Stade des Alpes, Grenoble

Grenoble 43%
Draw 35%
Boulogne 23%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Grenoble wins
43%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
82%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
35%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
17% of simulated outcomes

Grenoble vs Boulogne overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Grenoble vs Boulogne

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGrenobleDrawBoulogne
Model42.6%34.9%22.5%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final42.6%34.9%22.5%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Grenoble

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Grenoble ↓ / Boulogne β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 12% 1 15% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 82%
2+ goals 55%
3+ goals 27%
No goals 18%

Grenoble and Boulogne expected goals

Grenoble 1.01
Boulogne 0.79

Total expected goals: 1.80

Grenoble and Boulogne attack and defence ratings

Grenoble

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Boulogne

Attack 0.60 -40%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Ligue 2

Before and after this match

Grenoble vs Boulogne markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Grenoble 42.6% 2.35 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 73.7% 1.36 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 65.5% 1.53 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.5% 1.29 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 61.6% 1.62 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Grenoble42.6%
Draw34.9%
Boulogne22.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.526.3%
Under 2.573.7%
Both teams to scoreYes34.5%
No65.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.5%
12 (either side)65.1%
X2 (draw or away)57.4%
Handicap -1Grenoble win15.4%
Push (exactly one goal)23.0%
Loss61.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-018.2%
1-016.9%
1-114.1%

Grenoble vs Boulogne stats

Grenoble and Boulogne recent form

newest first
Grenoble LDWLWL
Boulogne DLDDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Grenoble and Boulogne season so far

league record

Grenoble record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Boulogne record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
  • 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Grenoble vs Boulogne head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Grenoble wins 1Draws 1Boulogne wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-27GrenobleBoulogneLigue 20-0
2025-11-21BoulogneGrenobleLigue 23-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Grenoble vs Boulogne odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Grenoble Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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