Boulogne
vs
Reims
Garuda Lions Prediction: Reims
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.95.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Boulogne vs Reims overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Boulogne vs Reims
| Probability | Boulogne | Draw | Reims |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.2% | 28.1% | 49.7% |
| Market | 30.0% | 29.5% | 40.5% |
| Final | 28.1% | 29.1% | 42.8% |
| Edge | -2.0% | -0.3% | +2.3% |
Why Reims
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Reims below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.34, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +0.1% per unit staked (our 42.8% × 2.34 − 1).
Boulogne vs Reims match preview
Boulogne faces Reims in an upcoming Ligue 2 match, with the probabilities indicating a 22% chance of a Boulogne win, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 49% chance for Reims to secure victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 12%. Boulogne has shown mixed form recently, with one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches, while Reims has been more consistent, recording four wins and two draws in the same period.
In terms of expected goals, Boulogne is projected to score 0.95, while Reims is expected to net 1.53. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match stands at 45%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 49%. Historically, in their last two encounters, Boulogne has not won, with one draw and one loss to Reims.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Boulogne and Reims expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.48
Boulogne and Reims attack and defence ratings
Boulogne
Reims
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Boulogne vs Reims markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Reims | 42.8% | 2.34 | +2.3% | 2.34 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boulogne | 28.1% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| Reims | 42.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.3% |
| No | 50.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Reims win | 26.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 50.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 0-1 | 11.6% | |
| 0-2 | 9.8% |
Boulogne vs Reims stats
Boulogne and Reims recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Boulogne and Reims season so far
Boulogne record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Reims record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
Boulogne vs Reims head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Reims | Boulogne | Ligue 2 | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Boulogne | Reims | Ligue 2 | 2-6 |
| 2025-07-16 | Reims | Boulogne | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2012-05-01 | Reims | Boulogne | Ligue 2 | 3-2 |
| 2012-01-14 | Boulogne | Reims | Ligue 2 | 0-0 |
| 2011-04-15 | Reims | Boulogne | Ligue 2 | 4-1 |
| 2010-10-29 | Boulogne | Reims | Ligue 2 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Boulogne vs Reims odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.0%, draw 29.5%, away 40.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.12 | 3.16 | 2.31 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.13 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 3.25 | 2.32 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.34 |
| Marathonbet | 3.10 | 3.16 | 2.29 |
| Pinnacle | 3.24 | 3.18 | 2.32 |
| SBO | 2.87 | 2.95 | 2.15 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .