Montpellier
vs
RED Star FC 93
Garuda Lions Prediction: Montpellier
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93
| Probability | Montpellier | Draw | RED Star FC 93 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.4% | 30.6% | 30.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.4% | 30.6% | 30.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 match preview
Montpellier faces RED Star FC 93 in a Ligue 2 matchup with both teams showing varying recent form. Montpellier's last six matches include three wins, two draws, and one loss, while RED Star FC 93 has four wins, one loss, and one draw in their recent outings. According to our model, Montpellier has a 39% chance of winning, with a predicted scoreline of 1-0 being the most likely outcome at 11%.
The expected goals for Montpellier stand at 1.26, compared to RED Star FC 93's 1.07, indicating a slight advantage for the home side. Additionally, there is a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance that both teams will score. The head-to-head record shows that in their last two encounters, Montpellier has not secured a win, with both matches ending in draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Montpellier and RED Star FC 93 expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.34
Montpellier and RED Star FC 93 attack and defence ratings
Montpellier
RED Star FC 93
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Montpellier | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Montpellier | 39.4% |
| Draw | 30.6% | |
| RED Star FC 93 | 30.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.5% |
| No | 51.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Montpellier win | 18.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 60.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 11.0% | |
| 1-0 | 10.9% |
Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 stats
Montpellier and RED Star FC 93 recent form
| Montpellier |
WDWLDW |
| RED Star FC 93 |
WWWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Montpellier and RED Star FC 93 season so far
Montpellier record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
RED Star FC 93 record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | RED Star FC 93 | Montpellier | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Montpellier | RED Star FC 93 | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.