RED Star FC 93
vs
Nancy
Garuda Lions Prediction: RED Star FC 93
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — RED Star FC 93 is the favourite, not a value bet.
RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy
| Probability | RED Star FC 93 | Draw | Nancy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.0% | 27.6% | 40.4% |
| Market | 41.1% | 27.5% | 31.4% |
| Final | 38.8% | 27.5% | 33.7% |
| Edge | -2.3% | +0.0% | +2.3% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.32, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.9% per unit staked (our 38.8% × 2.32 − 1).
RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy match preview
RED Star FC 93 faces Nancy in a Ligue 2 clash with both teams showing contrasting recent form. RED Star FC 93 has recorded two consecutive losses followed by three wins, while Nancy has won four of their last six matches, with a recent loss interrupting their streak. The probability model gives RED Star FC 93 a 39% chance of winning, while Nancy has a 34% chance, with a 27% likelihood of a draw.
The expected goals suggest a competitive match, with RED Star FC 93 at 1.30 and Nancy slightly higher at 1.49. The model indicates a most likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of RED Star FC 93, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% probability that both teams will score. Historically, RED Star FC 93 has won both of their last encounters against Nancy.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
RED Star FC 93 and Nancy expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.79
RED Star FC 93 and Nancy attack and defence ratings
RED Star FC 93
Nancy
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RED Star FC 93 | 38.8% | 2.57 | -2.3% | 2.32 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RED Star FC 93 | 38.8% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Nancy | 33.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% |
| No | 42.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | RED Star FC 93 win | 14.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 68.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 0-1 | 7.9% |
RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy stats
RED Star FC 93 and Nancy recent form
| RED Star FC 93 |
LLWWWW |
| Nancy |
WWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
RED Star FC 93 and Nancy season so far
RED Star FC 93 record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nancy record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | RED Star FC 93 | Nancy | Ligue 2 | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Nancy | RED Star FC 93 | Ligue 2 | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.1%, draw 27.5%, away 31.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.28 | 3.40 | 2.96 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.35 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.26 | 3.40 | 2.95 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31 | 3.53 | 2.95 |
| SBO | 2.20 | 3.02 | 2.75 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .