Grenoble
vs
Dijon
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dijon
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.30.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Grenoble vs Dijon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Grenoble vs Dijon
| Probability | Grenoble | Draw | Dijon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.6% | 24.7% | 49.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 25.6% | 24.7% | 49.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Dijon
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.30.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Grenoble vs Dijon match preview
In the upcoming Ligue 2 match, Grenoble hosts Dijon with both teams showing contrasting recent form. Grenoble has recorded three losses in their last five matches, alongside one draw and one win, while Dijon has fared better with three wins, one draw, and one loss in the same period. According to our model, Grenoble has a 24% chance of winning, while Dijon stands at 52%, with a 24% probability for a draw.
The expected goals for the match indicate Grenoble at 1.28 and Dijon at 1.96, suggesting a more favorable attacking outlook for the visitors. Our model predicts a likely scoreline of 1-2, with a 63% probability for both teams to score and for over 2.5 goals in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Grenoble and Dijon expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.16
Grenoble and Dijon attack and defence ratings
Grenoble
Dijon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Grenoble vs Dijon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dijon | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grenoble | 25.6% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Dijon | 49.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.4% |
| No | 37.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dijon win | 28.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 50.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.4% |
Grenoble vs Dijon stats
Grenoble and Dijon recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Grenoble and Dijon season so far
Grenoble record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dijon record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.