Nantes
vs
Clermont Foot
Garuda Lions Prediction: Nantes
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Nantes vs Clermont Foot overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nantes vs Clermont Foot
| Probability | Nantes | Draw | Clermont Foot |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.4% | 30.2% | 34.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.4% | 30.2% | 34.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Nantes
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Nantes vs Clermont Foot match preview
Nantes and Clermont Foot are set to face off in Ligue 2, with Nantes holding a 38% probability of winning compared to Clermont Foot's 33% and a 29% chance of a draw, according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Nantes, with an expected goals tally of 1.33 for Nantes and 1.23 for Clermont Foot.
In terms of recent form, Nantes has recorded a mixed performance with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five matches. Conversely, Clermont Foot has struggled, managing just three draws and two losses in their recent outings. The head-to-head record from the last two encounters shows each team with one victory. The confidence grade for this match stands at C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nantes and Clermont Foot expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.41
Nantes and Clermont Foot attack and defence ratings
Nantes
Clermont Foot
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nantes vs Clermont Foot markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nantes | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nantes | 35.4% |
| Draw | 30.2% | |
| Clermont Foot | 34.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% |
| No | 49.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nantes win | 15.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 64.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 10.3% | |
| 1-0 | 9.6% |
Nantes vs Clermont Foot stats
Nantes and Clermont Foot recent form
| Nantes |
LLDWLW |
| Clermont Foot |
LDLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nantes and Clermont Foot season so far
Nantes record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Clermont Foot record
- They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nantes vs Clermont Foot head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-14 | Nantes | Clermont Foot | Ligue 1 | 1-2 |
| 2023-09-17 | Clermont Foot | Nantes | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.