Ligue 2 Β· Β·Matchday 11

Laval vs Boulogne

Garuda Lions Prediction: Boulogne

0 – 1 Predicted score Β· 11% model probability

  • WhyBetter recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval

Laval 31%
Draw 31%
Boulogne 38%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Boulogne wins
38%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
88%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
48%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
11% of simulated outcomes

Laval vs Boulogne overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Laval vs Boulogne

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLavalDrawBoulogne
Model31.0%31.0%38.0%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final31.0%31.0%38.0%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Boulogne

  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Laval vs Boulogne match preview

Laval will face Boulogne in their upcoming Ligue 2 match, with kickoff scheduled for October 30, 2026. According to our model, Laval has a 31% probability of winning, while Boulogne holds a slightly higher chance at 38%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring with an 11% probability. Expected goals for Laval stand at 1.07, compared to Boulogne's 1.21.

In terms of recent form, Laval has struggled, recording five losses and one draw in their last six matches. Conversely, Boulogne has shown more resilience, with one win, three draws, and two losses in their recent outings. Both teams have a 48% probability of scoring, and there is a 40% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Laval ↓ / Boulogne β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 11% 7% 1 10% 15% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 12%

Laval and Boulogne expected goals

Laval 1.07
Boulogne 1.21

Total expected goals: 2.28

Laval and Boulogne attack and defence ratings

Laval

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Boulogne

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Ligue 2

Before and after this match

Laval vs Boulogne markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Boulogne 38.0% 2.63 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.0% 1.67 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 52.5% 1.91 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 69.0% 1.45 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 62.0% 1.61 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Laval31.0%
Draw31.0%
Boulogne38.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.0%
Under 2.560.0%
Both teams to scoreYes47.5%
No52.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.0%
12 (either side)69.0%
X2 (draw or away)69.0%
Handicap -1Boulogne win17.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss62.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-011.5%
0-111.0%

Laval vs Boulogne stats

Laval and Boulogne recent form

newest first
Laval LDLDLL
Boulogne WDLDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Laval and Boulogne season so far

league record

Laval record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Boulogne record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
  • 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Laval vs Boulogne head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Laval wins 0Draws 0Boulogne wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-09LavalBoulogneLigue 22-1
2025-09-12BoulogneLavalLigue 21-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Laval vs Boulogne odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Boulogne Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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