Rodez
vs
Dunkerque
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dunkerque
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Rodez vs Dunkerque overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rodez vs Dunkerque
| Probability | Rodez | Draw | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.4% | 23.7% | 40.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.4% | 23.7% | 40.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Dunkerque
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Rodez vs Dunkerque match preview
Rodez faces Dunkerque in a Ligue 2 clash on October 30, 2026. According to our model, Rodez has a 33% chance of winning, while Dunkerque is favored at 44%. The expected goals for Rodez stand at 1.69, compared to Dunkerque's 1.96. Recent form shows Rodez struggling with five consecutive losses followed by a draw, while Dunkerque has recorded two wins and two draws in their last six matches.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring with an 8% probability. Additionally, there is a 71% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. In their last two encounters, Rodez has not managed a win against Dunkerque, with two draws recorded. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rodez and Dunkerque expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.58
Rodez and Dunkerque attack and defence ratings
Rodez
Dunkerque
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rodez vs Dunkerque markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dunkerque | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rodez | 35.4% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Dunkerque | 40.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.2% |
| No | 29.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dunkerque win | 22.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 59.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 1-2 | 8.3% | |
| 2-1 | 7.7% |
Rodez vs Dunkerque stats
Rodez and Dunkerque recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rodez and Dunkerque season so far
Rodez record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Dunkerque record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rodez vs Dunkerque head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Dunkerque | Rodez | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Rodez | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.