Reims
vs
Sochaux
Garuda Lions Prediction: Reims
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.23.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Reims vs Sochaux overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Reims vs Sochaux
| Probability | Reims | Draw | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.3% | 21.9% | 19.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 58.3% | 21.9% | 19.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Reims
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.23.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Reims vs Sochaux match preview
Reims faces Sochaux in a Ligue 2 matchup with Reims holding a 58% probability of winning, while Sochaux stands at 20%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, occurring with a 10% likelihood. Reims has shown solid recent form with three wins and two draws in their last six matches, while Sochaux has struggled, recording two losses, three draws, and only one win in the same period.
In terms of expected goals, Reims is projected to score 2.19, compared to Sochaux's 1.23. The model indicates a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% probability that both teams will score. With a confidence grade of C, the match presents an intriguing contest between the two sides.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Reims and Sochaux expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.42
Reims and Sochaux attack and defence ratings
Reims
Sochaux
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Reims vs Sochaux markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Reims | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Reims | 58.3% |
| Draw | 21.9% | |
| Sochaux | 19.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% |
| No | 36.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Reims win | 36.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 41.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.8% |
Reims vs Sochaux stats
Reims and Sochaux recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Reims and Sochaux season so far
Reims record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
Sochaux record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.