Annecy
vs
Montpellier
Garuda Lions Prediction: Montpellier
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Annecy vs Montpellier overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Annecy vs Montpellier
| Probability | Annecy | Draw | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.3% | 31.1% | 40.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 28.3% | 31.1% | 40.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Annecy vs Montpellier match preview
Annecy faces Montpellier in a Ligue 2 matchup on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Montpellier has a 41% chance of winning, while Annecy stands at 28%, and the probability of a draw is 31%. The expected goals for Annecy are 1.00, compared to Montpellier's 1.25, suggesting a competitive encounter. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, with a 12% probability.
Recent form indicates that Annecy has recorded two wins and three losses in their last six matches, while Montpellier has achieved four wins, one draw, and one loss in the same period. In their last two encounters, Annecy has not secured a victory, with one draw and one win for Montpellier. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 39%, and both teams scoring stands at 46%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Annecy and Montpellier expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.25
Annecy and Montpellier attack and defence ratings
Annecy
Montpellier
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Annecy vs Montpellier markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Montpellier | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Annecy | 28.3% |
| Draw | 31.1% | |
| Montpellier | 40.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.5% |
| No | 53.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Montpellier win | 18.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 59.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.8% | |
| 0-1 | 11.8% |
Annecy vs Montpellier stats
Annecy and Montpellier recent form
| Annecy |
WLWLLW |
| Montpellier |
WWDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Annecy and Montpellier season so far
Annecy record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Montpellier record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Annecy vs Montpellier head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Annecy | Montpellier | Ligue 2 | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Montpellier | Annecy | Ligue 2 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.