Dijon
vs
Rodez
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dijon
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Dijon vs Rodez overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dijon vs Rodez
| Probability | Dijon | Draw | Rodez |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.2% | 19.5% | 27.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 53.2% | 19.5% | 27.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Dijon
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.61 vs 1.89.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Dijon vs Rodez match preview
Dijon enters this match with a probability of 53% to win against Rodez, who has a 27% chance of securing victory. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Dijon, with an expected goals tally of 2.61 for Dijon and 1.89 for Rodez. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 83%, while both teams scoring stands at 79%.
In terms of recent form, Dijon has recorded a mixed set of results with a record of L-W-W-W-D-L, while Rodez has struggled, managing only one win in their last six matches (L-L-L-L-D-W). The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions provided by our model.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dijon and Rodez expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.51
Dijon and Rodez attack and defence ratings
Dijon
Rodez
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dijon vs Rodez markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dijon | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dijon | 53.2% |
| Draw | 19.5% | |
| Rodez | 27.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.2% |
| No | 20.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dijon win | 34.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 46.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.1% |
| 2-2 | 6.8% | |
| 3-1 | 6.2% |
Dijon vs Rodez stats
Dijon and Rodez recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dijon and Rodez season so far
Dijon record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rodez record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.