Ligue 2
·
·Matchday 9
Reims
vs
Dijon
Garuda Lions Prediction: Reims
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Reims
48%
Draw
23%
Dijon
29%
Chance Reims wins
48%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
70%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes
Reims vs Dijon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Reims vs Dijon
| Probability | Reims | Draw | Dijon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.3% | 23.0% | 28.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.3% | 23.0% | 28.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Reims
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.56.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
70%
No goals
4%
Reims and Dijon expected goals
Reims
2.06
Dijon
1.56
Total expected goals: 3.62
Reims and Dijon attack and defence ratings
Reims
Attack
1.49 +49%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Dijon
Attack
1.22 +22%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Reims vs Dijon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Reims | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Reims | 48.3% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Dijon | 28.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.8% |
| No | 30.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Reims win | 28.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 51.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Reims vs Dijon stats
Reims and Dijon recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Reims and Dijon season so far
Reims record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
Dijon record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.