Guingamp
vs
PAU
Garuda Lions Prediction: Guingamp
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Guingamp vs PAU overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Guingamp vs PAU
| Probability | Guingamp | Draw | PAU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.2% | 28.3% | 34.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.2% | 28.3% | 34.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Guingamp and PAU expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.84
Guingamp and PAU attack and defence ratings
Guingamp
PAU
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Guingamp vs PAU markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guingamp | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guingamp | 37.2% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| PAU | 34.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% |
| No | 44.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Guingamp win | 14.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 67.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.1% |
Guingamp vs PAU stats
Guingamp and PAU recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Guingamp and PAU season so far
Guingamp record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
PAU record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Guingamp vs PAU head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | PAU | Guingamp | Ligue 2 | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Guingamp | PAU | Ligue 2 | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.