Guingamp
vs
PAU
1 – 2 Full time
| 6′ | Cheikh Fall | ||
| 13′ | Anthony Briançon | ||
| 25′ | Gaëtan Paquiez | ||
| 33′ | Bilal Brahimi | ||
| 45′ | Tanguy AhileBrandon Bokangu | ||
| 45′ | Anthony BriançonRony Ulrich Jordan·Mimb Baheng | ||
| 57′ | Tom DucrocqFlorent Sanchez Da Silva | ||
| 57′ | Tuomas OllilaAmadou Samoura | ||
| 62′ | Bilal BrahimiJeremy Sebas | ||
| 66′ | Jeremy Sebas | ||
| 66′ | Hacene BenaliLuan Gadegbeku | ||
| 67′ | Stanislas KieltDylan Louiserre | ||
| 74′ | Nathan Fondja | ||
| 74′ | Nathan FondjaIbrahim Fomba | ||
| 75′ | Teddy Andami Averlant | ||
| 80′ | Babacar LeyeAbdoulaye Mbaye | ||
| 80′ | Tom PouillyAbdel Hakim Abdallah | ||
| 83′ | Jeovanni Dianganga |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 516 | Accurate passes | 269 |
Guingamp vs PAU overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Guingamp vs PAU
| Probability | Guingamp | Draw | PAU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.5% | 27.4% | 40.1% |
| Market | 43.2% | 27.0% | 29.8% |
| Final | 40.5% | 27.1% | 32.4% |
| Edge | -2.7% | +0.1% | +2.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Guingamp and PAU expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.83
Guingamp and PAU attack and defence ratings
Guingamp
PAU
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Guingamp vs PAU: result vs prediction
Guingamp 1 – 2 PAU
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Guingamp vs PAU markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guingamp | 40.5% | 2.47 | -2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guingamp | 40.5% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| PAU | 32.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.4% |
| No | 41.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Guingamp win | 14.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 67.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 2-1 | 7.8% |
Guingamp vs PAU stats
Guingamp and PAU recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Guingamp and PAU going into this match
Guingamp record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
PAU record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Guingamp vs PAU head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | PAU | Guingamp | Ligue 2 | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Guingamp | PAU | Ligue 2 | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-10 | PAU | Guingamp | Ligue 2 | 1-3 |
| 2024-10-18 | Guingamp | PAU | Ligue 2 | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-27 | PAU | Guingamp | Ligue 2 | 1-2 |
| 2023-08-26 | Guingamp | PAU | Ligue 2 | 4-0 |
| 2023-04-22 | PAU | Guingamp | Ligue 2 | 2-1 |
| 2022-07-30 | Guingamp | PAU | Ligue 2 | 4-0 |
| 2022-04-19 | Guingamp | PAU | Ligue 2 | 3-0 |
| 2021-11-20 | PAU | Guingamp | Ligue 2 | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Guingamp vs PAU odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.9%, draw 27.1%, away 29.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 3.48 | 3.14 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.28 | 3.40 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.13 | 3.48 | 3.14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23 | 3.56 | 3.22 |
| SBO | 2.24 | 3.09 | 2.77 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .