Ligue 2 · Full time ·Matchday 9

Annecy vs Nancy

1 – 2 Full time

41′Ilyes Housni
57′Nordine Kandil
59′Moïse Sahi
65′Thibault RambaudKilyan Veniere
65′Paul VenotAlexis Casadei
65′Clement BillemazSouleymane Fofana
68′Jeremy GelinChafik El Hansar
68′Zakaria FdaouchPape Meissa Ba
74′Moïse SahiPascal Mozie
77′Chafik El Hansar
79′Nordine KandilIbrahim cisse
86′Antoine LaroseAdam Yahi
89′Alexis Casadei
90′El Hadari RaheriniainaMamadou Fofana

Parc des Sports d’Annecy, AvignonReferee: Azzedine Souifi

Annecy 33%
Draw 28%
Nancy 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
45 Possession % 55
3 Corners 7
6 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 9
4 Saves 2
284 Accurate passes 378

Annecy vs Nancy overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Annecy vs Nancy

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAnnecyDrawNancy
Model39.9%28.3%31.9%
Market30.4%28.2%41.4%
Final32.8%28.2%39.0%
Edge+2.4%+0.0%-2.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Nancy

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Annecy ↓ / Nancy → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 13% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Annecy and Nancy expected goals

Annecy 1.43
Nancy 1.25

Total expected goals: 2.68

Annecy and Nancy attack and defence ratings

Annecy

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Nancy

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Annecy vs Nancy: result vs prediction

Annecy 1 – 2 Nancy

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Ligue 2

Before and after this match

Annecy vs Nancy markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Nancy 39.0% 2.56 -2.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.2% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.5% 1.80 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.8% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.1% 1.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Annecy32.8%
Draw28.2%
Nancy39.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.2%
Under 2.549.8%
Both teams to scoreYes55.5%
No44.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.0%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)67.2%
Handicap -1Nancy win14.2%
Push (exactly one goal)17.7%
Loss68.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
2-18.7%
1-08.6%

Annecy vs Nancy stats

Annecy and Nancy recent form

newest first
Annecy WLLWDL
Nancy WWLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Annecy and Nancy going into this match

league record before kick-off

Annecy record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Nancy record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Annecy vs Nancy head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Annecy wins 1Draws 2Nancy wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-28NancyAnnecyFriendlies Clubs1-1
2026-04-17NancyAnnecyLigue 21-5
2025-09-23AnnecyNancyLigue 21-2
2018-11-17AnnecyNancyCoupe de France0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Annecy vs Nancy odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.9%, draw 28.6%, away 40.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.05 3.36 2.25
Bet365 3.10 3.00 2.15
BetVictor 3.00 3.25 2.20
Betano 2.80 3.20 2.65
Betfair 2.70 3.30 2.45
Dafabet 2.75 3.25 2.65
Marathonbet 3.04 3.36 2.23
Pinnacle 3.23 3.33 2.33
SBO 2.58 3.04 2.41
William Hill 3.00 3.10 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.04 ▲ +0.35
X 3.29 ▼ -0.09
2 2.24 ▼ -0.22

14 snapshots recorded, from .