Ligue 2 · Full time ·Matchday 9

Metz vs Sochaux

3 – 2 Full time

10′Saad Agouzoul
28′Giorgi Abuashvili
45′Landry NomelMathis Clairicia
45′Yohan DemoncyLouicius Deedson
46′Benjamin Gomel
48′Teji Savanier
53′Bouna SarrBryan Rigobert Song Bahanag
61′Benjamin Gomel
68′Dalangunypole GomisDylan Tavares
77′Teji Savanier
79′Cristian CastroMaxime Colin
79′Giorgi AbuashviliFlorian Miguel
83′Kapitbafan DjocoSamy Baghdadi
83′Benjamin GomelBoubacar Fofana
88′Abdourahmane MbodjNathan Mbala
90′Louicius Deedson

Stade Saint-Symphorien, MetzReferee: Gael Angoula

Metz 47%
Draw 27%
Sochaux 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 4
58 Possession % 42
5 Corners 5
12 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 1
2 Saves 3
418 Accurate passes 285

Metz vs Sochaux overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Metz vs Sochaux

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMetzDrawSochaux
Model27.2%28.2%44.6%
Market53.5%26.0%20.5%
Final46.9%26.6%26.5%
Edge-26.3%+2.2%+24.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Metz ↓ / Sochaux → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 10% 8% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 9%

Metz and Sochaux expected goals

Metz 1.12
Sochaux 1.49

Total expected goals: 2.61

Metz and Sochaux attack and defence ratings

Metz

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Sochaux

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Metz vs Sochaux: result vs prediction

Metz 3 – 2 Sochaux

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Ligue 2

Before and after this match

Metz vs Sochaux markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Metz 46.9% 2.13 -26.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.5% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.5% 1.87 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.5% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.8% 1.37 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Metz46.9%
Draw26.6%
Sochaux26.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.5%
Under 2.551.5%
Both teams to scoreYes53.5%
No46.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.5%
12 (either side)73.4%
X2 (draw or away)53.1%
Handicap -1Metz win11.2%
Push (exactly one goal)16.1%
Loss72.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
0-19.7%
1-29.2%

Metz vs Sochaux stats

Metz and Sochaux recent form

newest first
Metz LDLWDD
Sochaux DDWDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Metz and Sochaux going into this match

league record before kick-off

Metz record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sochaux record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Metz vs Sochaux head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

6Metz wins 2Draws 0Sochaux wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-22MetzSochauxFriendlies Clubs4-1
2023-05-26SochauxMetzLigue 20-1
2022-10-15MetzSochauxLigue 20-0
2022-07-23MetzSochauxFriendlies Clubs1-0
2019-03-11MetzSochauxLigue 21-1
2018-10-08SochauxMetzLigue 21-2
2016-01-11MetzSochauxLigue 21-0
2015-08-07SochauxMetzLigue 20-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Metz vs Sochaux odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.1%, draw 26.0%, away 20.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.74 3.64 4.57
Bet365 1.75 3.20 4.20
BetVictor 1.73 3.50 4.40
Betano 1.80 3.60 4.65
Betfair 1.75 3.75 4.40
Dafabet 1.85 3.55 4.40
Marathonbet 1.72 3.64 4.60
Pinnacle 1.75 3.81 4.78
SBO 1.77 3.17 3.76
William Hill 1.73 3.50 4.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.73 ▼ -0.10
X 3.57 ▲ +0.05
2 4.54 ▲ +0.36

10 snapshots recorded, from .