Ligue 2 · Full time ·Matchday 8

Sochaux vs Boulogne

1 – 1 Full time

8′Benjamin Gomel
40′Julien Masson
46′Demba Thiam
64′Mohamed SoumahBenjamin Besic
65′Noah FatarAurelien Platret
68′Kapitbafan DjocoMathis Clairicia
68′Landry NomelLouicius Deedson
68′Yohan DemoncySamy Baghdadi
75′Abdel Hbouch
78′Arthur VitelliSaad Agouzoul
84′Benjamin GomelBoubacar Fofana
87′Abdel HbouchMartin Lecolier
87′Joffrey BultelTheo Epailly
90′Nolan BinetSonny Duflos
90′Adrien Pinot

Stade Bonal, MontbeliardReferee: Mickael Leleu

Sochaux 43%
Draw 31%
Boulogne 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
51 Possession % 49
8 Corners 4
16 Fouls 23
3 Offsides 3
2 Saves 2
326 Accurate passes 318

Sochaux vs Boulogne overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sochaux vs Boulogne

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySochauxDrawBoulogne
Model49.3%34.0%16.6%
Market40.6%29.3%30.1%
Final42.8%30.5%26.7%
Edge+2.2%+1.2%-3.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Sochaux

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.15 vs 0.56.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Sochaux below our published probability: +2.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sochaux ↓ / Boulogne → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 19% 1 20% 13% 2 12% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 81%
2+ goals 52%
3+ goals 25%
No goals 19%

Sochaux and Boulogne expected goals

Sochaux 1.15
Boulogne 0.56

Total expected goals: 1.71

Sochaux and Boulogne attack and defence ratings

Sochaux

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Boulogne

Attack 0.58 -42%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sochaux vs Boulogne: result vs prediction

Sochaux 1 – 1 Boulogne

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Ligue 2

Before and after this match

Sochaux vs Boulogne markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sochaux 42.8% 2.34 +2.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 75.5% 1.32 — —
Both teams to score No 69.7% 1.44 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.3% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.7% 1.97 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sochaux42.8%
Draw30.5%
Boulogne26.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.524.5%
Under 2.575.5%
Both teams to scoreYes30.3%
No69.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.3%
12 (either side)69.5%
X2 (draw or away)57.2%
Handicap -1Sochaux win22.2%
Push (exactly one goal)27.2%
Loss50.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-019.7%
0-019.3%
1-112.8%

Sochaux vs Boulogne stats

Sochaux and Boulogne recent form

newest first
Sochaux DWDDWD
Boulogne LDDDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sochaux and Boulogne going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sochaux record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Boulogne record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
  • 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sochaux vs Boulogne head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Sochaux wins 1Draws 0Boulogne wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-05-02BoulogneSochauxLigue 32-3
2025-01-10SochauxBoulogneLigue 31-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sochaux vs Boulogne odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.6%, draw 29.3%, away 30.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.31 3.18 3.10
Bet365 2.25 3.00 3.00
BetVictor 2.30 3.20 3.13
Betano 2.42 3.20 3.10
Betfair 2.25 3.25 3.10
Dafabet 2.40 3.15 3.15
Marathonbet 2.29 3.18 3.08
Pinnacle 2.41 3.19 3.22
SBO 2.30 2.88 2.87
William Hill 2.30 2.90 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▲ +0.07
X 3.18 ▼ -0.02
2 3.10 ▼ -0.10

14 snapshots recorded, from .