Sochaux
vs
Boulogne
1 – 1 Full time
Sochaux vs Boulogne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sochaux vs Boulogne
| Probability | Sochaux | Draw | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.3% | 34.0% | 16.6% |
| Market | 40.6% | 29.3% | 30.1% |
| Final | 42.8% | 30.5% | 26.7% |
| Edge | +8.8% | +4.7% | -13.5% |
Why Sochaux
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.15 vs 0.56.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sochaux below the model: +8.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sochaux and Boulogne expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.71
Sochaux and Boulogne attack and defence ratings
Sochaux
Boulogne
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sochaux vs Boulogne: result vs prediction
Sochaux 1 – 1 Boulogne
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sochaux vs Boulogne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sochaux | 42.8% | 2.34 | +8.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sochaux | 42.8% |
| Draw | 30.5% | |
| Boulogne | 26.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.3% |
| No | 69.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sochaux win | 22.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.2% | |
| Loss | 50.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.7% |
| 0-0 | 19.3% | |
| 1-1 | 12.8% |
Sochaux vs Boulogne stats
Sochaux and Boulogne recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sochaux and Boulogne going into this match
Sochaux record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Boulogne record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sochaux vs Boulogne head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-02 | Boulogne | Sochaux | Ligue 3 | 2-3 |
| 2025-01-10 | Sochaux | Boulogne | Ligue 3 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sochaux vs Boulogne odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.6%, draw 29.3%, away 30.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.31 | 3.18 | 3.10 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.40 | 3.15 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.29 | 3.18 | 3.08 |
| Pinnacle | 2.41 | 3.19 | 3.22 |
| SBO | 2.30 | 2.88 | 2.87 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 2.90 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .