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Ligue 2 · Full time ·Matchday 6

RED Star FC 93 vs Metz

1 – 0 Full time

37′Samuel Renel
45′Maxime ColinFlorian Miguel
58′Jovany Ikanga A Ngele
60′Kevin Cabral
61′Jahyann PandoreNathan Mbala
61′Jessy DeminguetIbou Sane
67′Samuel RenelBradley Danger
68′Jovany Ikanga A NgeleDamien Durand
68′Saîf-Eddine KhaouiIdrissa Sabaly
77′Kémo CisséGodson Kyeremeh
78′Teji SavanierNampalys Mendy
78′Giorgi AbuashviliAbdoulaye Agne Ba
88′Islamdine HalifaJosué Escartin

Stade Bauer, Paris - Saint-Ouen

RED Star FC 93 40%
Draw 28%
Metz 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 1
52 Possession % 48
9 Corners 2
26 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1
1 Saves 6
377 Accurate passes 339

RED Star FC 93 vs Metz overview

Garuda Lions analysis: RED Star FC 93 vs Metz

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRED Star FC 93DrawMetz
Model42.5%25.7%31.8%
Market39.2%28.7%32.1%
Final40.0%27.9%32.1%
Edge+3.3%-3.0%-0.4%

Confidence: Low

Why RED Star FC 93

  • The market prices RED Star FC 93 below the model: +3.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

RED Star FC 93 ↓ / Metz → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 12% 8% 2 6% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

RED Star FC 93 and Metz expected goals

RED Star FC 93 1.68
Metz 1.44

Total expected goals: 3.12

RED Star FC 93 and Metz attack and defence ratings

RED Star FC 93

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Metz

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

RED Star FC 93 vs Metz: result vs prediction

RED Star FC 93 1 – 0 Metz

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Ligue 2

Before and after this match

RED Star FC 93 vs Metz markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 RED Star FC 93 40.0% 2.50 +3.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.3% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.1% 1.58 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.1% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.5% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2RED Star FC 9340.0%
Draw27.9%
Metz32.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.3%
Under 2.539.7%
Both teams to scoreYes63.1%
No36.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.9%
12 (either side)72.1%
X2 (draw or away)60.0%
Handicap -1RED Star FC 93 win22.7%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss57.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
2-19.0%
1-27.7%

RED Star FC 93 vs Metz stats

RED Star FC 93 and Metz recent form

newest first
RED Star FC 93 WLDDWL
Metz WDDDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

RED Star FC 93 and Metz going into this match

league record before kick-off

RED Star FC 93 record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Metz record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

RED Star FC 93 vs Metz head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2RED Star FC 93 wins 2Draws 6Metz wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-07-19MetzRED Star FC 93Friendlies Clubs4-0
2025-04-19MetzRED Star FC 93Ligue 22-2
2024-10-29RED Star FC 93MetzLigue 21-0
2019-04-26RED Star FC 93MetzLigue 21-2
2018-12-04MetzRED Star FC 93Ligue 22-0
2017-10-25MetzRED Star FC 93Coupe de la Ligue1-0
2016-04-22MetzRED Star FC 93Ligue 22-0
2015-12-01RED Star FC 93MetzLigue 23-1
2013-04-12RED Star FC 93MetzLigue 30-2
2012-11-10MetzRED Star FC 93Ligue 31-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

RED Star FC 93 vs Metz odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.1%, draw 28.6%, away 32.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.62 3.25 2.62
1xBet 2.38 3.25 2.94
888Sport 2.63 3.00 2.60
Bet365 2.30 3.00 2.88
BetVictor 2.38 3.30 2.88
Betano 2.42 3.25 3.05
Betfair 2.30 3.40 2.88
Dafabet 2.65 3.25 2.70
Marathonbet 2.36 3.25 2.93
Pinnacle 2.44 3.36 3.02
SBO 2.23 3.02 2.70
William Hill 2.38 3.10 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.38 ▼ -0.23
X 3.25 ▲ +0.02
2 2.90 ▲ +0.23

14 snapshots recorded, from .