Ligue 2 · Full time ·Matchday 6

Guingamp vs Annecy

2 – 1 Full time

13′Thibault Rambaud
18′Donacien Gomis
28′Thibault Delphis
35′Thibault Rambaud
45′Zepiqueno RedmondAntoine Larose
59′Dylan LouiserreJasser Chamakh
59′Tuomas OllilaV. Muntu Wa Mungu
59′Tom DucrocqBrandon Bokangu
62′Tanguy Ahile
63′Kadan YoungM. Koné
64′Thibault RambaudMoïse Sahi
66′Brandon Bokangu
77′Paul VenotPascal Mozie
78′Stanislas KieltFlorent Sanchez Da Silva
78′Albin DemouchyJeovanni Dianganga
83′Jonathan Do MarcolinoGabin Secrétant

Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp

Guingamp 39%
Draw 28%
Annecy 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
51 Possession % 49
6 Corners 5
8 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 3
4 Saves 5
339 Accurate passes 325

Guingamp vs Annecy overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Guingamp vs Annecy

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGuingampDrawAnnecy
Model23.8%26.0%50.2%
Market43.5%28.2%28.3%
Final38.6%27.6%33.8%
Edge-19.7%-2.2%+21.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Guingamp ↓ / Annecy → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 9% 9% 1 12% 10% 2 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Guingamp and Annecy expected goals

Guingamp 1.13
Annecy 1.73

Total expected goals: 2.86

Guingamp and Annecy attack and defence ratings

Guingamp

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Annecy

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Guingamp vs Annecy: result vs prediction

Guingamp 2 – 1 Annecy

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Ligue 2

Before and after this match

Guingamp vs Annecy markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Guingamp 38.6% 2.59 -19.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.4% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.8% 1.76 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.4% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 76.2% 1.31 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Guingamp38.6%
Draw27.6%
Annecy33.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.4%
Under 2.545.6%
Both teams to scoreYes56.8%
No43.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.2%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)61.4%
Handicap -1Guingamp win9.6%
Push (exactly one goal)14.1%
Loss76.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.3%
1-29.7%
0-18.8%

Guingamp vs Annecy stats

Guingamp and Annecy recent form

newest first
Guingamp DDLWLL
Annecy WDLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Guingamp and Annecy going into this match

league record before kick-off

Guingamp record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Annecy record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Guingamp vs Annecy head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Guingamp wins 2Draws 4Annecy wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-03AnnecyGuingampLigue 21-0
2025-12-05GuingampAnnecyLigue 20-3
2025-01-10AnnecyGuingampLigue 21-4
2024-09-20GuingampAnnecyLigue 22-2
2024-02-03GuingampAnnecyLigue 21-4
2023-08-05AnnecyGuingampLigue 21-4
2023-03-18AnnecyGuingampLigue 21-1
2022-10-08GuingampAnnecyLigue 20-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Guingamp vs Annecy odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.5%, draw 28.2%, away 28.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.20 3.35 3.20
1xBet 2.16 3.32 3.32
Bet365 2.10 3.10 3.25
BetVictor 2.15 3.40 3.20
Betano 2.25 3.20 3.40
Betfair 2.15 3.40 3.10
Dafabet 2.22 3.25 3.40
Marathonbet 2.14 3.32 3.32
Pinnacle 2.21 3.35 3.46
SBO 2.15 3.16 3.04
William Hill 2.15 3.10 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▼ -0.07
X 3.32 ▼ -0.06
2 3.30 ▲ +0.08

13 snapshots recorded, from .