Reims
vs
Guingamp
2 – 2 Full time
| 5′ | Stanislas Kielt | ||
| 48′ | Yaya Fofana | ||
| 50′ | Yaya Fofana | ||
| 62′ | John PatrickJohn Otomewo | ||
| 62′ | Youssef el KachatiSambou Soumano | ||
| 64′ | John Otomewo | ||
| 67′ | Stanislas KieltBrandon Bokangu | ||
| 67′ | Tuomas OllilaV. Muntu Wa Mungu | ||
| 67′ | Tom DucrocqFlorent Sanchez Da Silva | ||
| 73′ | Teddy Andami AverlantJasser Chamakh | ||
| 73′ | Tanguy AhileAmadou Samoura | ||
| 79′ | Yaya FofanaChamsedin Kouranfal | ||
| 82′ | Samir Ben Brahim | ||
| 88′ | Brandon Bokangu | ||
| 89′ | Mohammed DaramyArone Gadou |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 0 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 433 | Accurate passes | 386 |
Reims vs Guingamp overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Reims vs Guingamp
| Probability | Reims | Draw | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.3% | 21.0% | 15.7% |
| Market | 53.2% | 25.5% | 21.3% |
| Final | 55.8% | 24.3% | 19.9% |
| Edge | +10.0% | -4.5% | -5.6% |
Why Reims
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.24 vs 1.05.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Reims below the model: +10.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Reims and Guingamp expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.29
Reims and Guingamp attack and defence ratings
Reims
Guingamp
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Reims vs Guingamp: result vs prediction
Reims 2 – 2 Guingamp
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Reims vs Guingamp markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Reims | 55.8% | 1.79 | +10.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Reims win | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Reims | 55.8% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Guingamp | 19.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% |
| No | 41.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Reims win | 41.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 36.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.8% |
| 1-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 9.4% |
Reims vs Guingamp stats
Reims and Guingamp recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Reims and Guingamp going into this match
Reims record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
Guingamp record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Reims vs Guingamp head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Guingamp | Reims | Ligue 2 | 0-2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Reims | Guingamp | Ligue 2 | 1-0 |
| 2019-01-26 | Guingamp | Reims | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2018-11-24 | Reims | Guingamp | Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
| 2016-03-19 | Reims | Guingamp | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2015-12-02 | Guingamp | Reims | Ligue 1 | 1-2 |
| 2015-05-02 | Guingamp | Reims | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2014-12-07 | Reims | Guingamp | Ligue 1 | 2-3 |
| 2014-02-08 | Guingamp | Reims | Ligue 1 | 1-2 |
| 2013-09-21 | Reims | Guingamp | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Reims vs Guingamp odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.8%, draw 25.5%, away 21.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.80 | 3.65 | 4.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 3.66 | 4.42 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.83 | 3.65 | 4.30 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.82 | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 3.66 | 4.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77 | 3.67 | 4.91 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.21 | 3.39 |
| Superbet | 1.83 | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| Unibet | 1.76 | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .