Saint-Etienne
vs
Montpellier
3 – 1 Full time
| 41′ | Maxime Bernauer | ||
| 42′ | Zoumana Camara | ||
| 45′ | Augustine Boakye | ||
| 45′ | Daylam Meddah | ||
| 49′ | Augustine Boakye | ||
| 58′ | Maxime BernauerBen Old | ||
| 59′ | Naoufel El Hannach | ||
| 59′ | I. Cathro | ||
| 65′ | Thierno BalloJoshua Duffus | ||
| 65′ | Zuriko DavitashviliMahmoud Jaber | ||
| 67′ | Daylam Meddah | ||
| 70′ | Hichem AbderrebiJérémy Hatchi | ||
| 71′ | Naoufel El HannachThéo Chennahi | ||
| 71′ | Joshua Duffus | ||
| 76′ | Kevin PedroJoão Ferreira | ||
| 76′ | Augustine BoakyeJakob Breum | ||
| 79′ | Daylam MeddahGrégory Ayem | ||
| 79′ | Laciné Megnan PaveMamadou Camara | ||
| 84′ | Nicolas PaysNoah Vidal |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 368 | Accurate passes | 466 |
Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier
| Probability | Saint-Etienne | Draw | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.4% | 33.1% | 23.5% |
| Market | 59.9% | 22.9% | 17.2% |
| Final | 55.8% | 25.5% | 18.8% |
| Edge | -16.5% | +10.2% | +6.4% |
Why Saint-Etienne
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.17 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Saint-Etienne and Montpellier expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.95
Saint-Etienne and Montpellier attack and defence ratings
Saint-Etienne
Montpellier
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier: result vs prediction
Saint-Etienne 3 – 1 Montpellier
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Saint-Etienne | 55.8% | 1.79 | -16.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Saint-Etienne | 55.8% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Montpellier | 18.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.8% |
| No | 61.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Saint-Etienne win | 19.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 56.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.5% |
| 1-0 | 15.2% | |
| 1-1 | 14.3% |
Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier stats
Saint-Etienne and Montpellier recent form
| Saint-Etienne |
WWWWDW |
| Montpellier |
DWWDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Saint-Etienne and Montpellier going into this match
Montpellier record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Saint-Etienne | Montpellier | Ligue 2 | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Montpellier | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 2 | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-16 | Montpellier | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 1 | 0-2 |
| 2024-11-23 | Saint-Etienne | Montpellier | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2024-07-31 | Montpellier | Saint-Etienne | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
| 2022-02-05 | Saint-Etienne | Montpellier | Ligue 1 | 3-1 |
| 2021-09-12 | Montpellier | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2021-05-02 | Montpellier | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 1 | 1-2 |
| 2020-11-01 | Saint-Etienne | Montpellier | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.9%, draw 23.0%, away 17.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.53 | 4.10 | 5.80 |
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 4.10 | 5.35 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 3.60 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.10 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.15 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 4.24 | 5.48 |
| SBO | 1.48 | 3.77 | 4.84 |
| Superbet | 1.57 | 4.25 | 5.50 |
| Unibet | 1.61 | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .