Dijon
vs
Saint-Etienne
2 – 3 Full time
| 21′ | T. Ballo | ||
| 39′ | S. Chouchane | ||
| 44′ | Paul Bellon | ||
| 45′ | Zuriko Davitashvili | ||
| 55′ | S. Chouchane | ||
| 64′ | T. Ballo | ||
| 65′ | T. DongA. Ntamack | ||
| 65′ | J. TavaresY. Barka | ||
| 65′ | T. BalloJ. Duffus | ||
| 66′ | T. SvetlinB. Old | ||
| 73′ | A. LembezatJ. Marie | ||
| 73′ | P. BellonY. Aka | ||
| 80′ | A. Boakye | ||
| 82′ | M. FatyM. Barreto | ||
| 84′ | A. BoakyeA. Baallal | ||
| 90′ | Z. DavitashviliN. El Jamali |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 12 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Offsides | 9 |
| 9 | Saves | 5 |
| 421 | Accurate passes | 476 |
Dijon vs Saint-Etienne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dijon vs Saint-Etienne
| Probability | Dijon | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.2% | 26.6% | 54.1% |
| Market | 19.5% | 24.9% | 55.6% |
| Final | 19.4% | 25.3% | 55.2% |
| Edge | -0.2% | +1.7% | -1.5% |
Why Saint-Etienne
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dijon and Saint-Etienne expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.57
Dijon and Saint-Etienne attack and defence ratings
Dijon
Saint-Etienne
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dijon vs Saint-Etienne: result vs prediction
Dijon 2 – 3 Saint-Etienne
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dijon vs Saint-Etienne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Saint-Etienne | 55.2% | 1.81 | -1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dijon | 19.4% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Saint-Etienne | 55.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.5% |
| No | 50.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Saint-Etienne win | 30.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 45.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 0-1 | 11.6% | |
| 0-2 | 10.6% |
Dijon vs Saint-Etienne stats
Dijon and Saint-Etienne recent form
| Dijon |
DLDDWW |
| Saint-Etienne |
WWWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dijon and Saint-Etienne going into this match
Dijon record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Dijon vs Saint-Etienne head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-11 | Saint-Etienne | Dijon | Ligue 2 | 2-0 |
| 2022-07-30 | Dijon | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 2 | 2-1 |
| 2021-05-23 | Saint-Etienne | Dijon | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2020-12-06 | Dijon | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
| 2019-08-10 | Dijon | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 1 | 1-2 |
| 2019-02-22 | Dijon | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2019-01-23 | Saint-Etienne | Dijon | Coupe de France | 3-6 |
| 2018-12-22 | Saint-Etienne | Dijon | Ligue 1 | 3-0 |
| 2018-03-03 | Saint-Etienne | Dijon | Ligue 1 | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dijon vs Saint-Etienne odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.5%, draw 24.9%, away 55.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.80 | 3.70 | 1.70 |
| 1xBet | 4.74 | 3.80 | 1.69 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.40 | 1.62 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 3.75 | 1.67 |
| Betano | 5.10 | 3.80 | 1.70 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| Dafabet | 5.00 | 3.75 | 1.72 |
| Marathonbet | 4.80 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| Pinnacle | 5.08 | 3.86 | 1.70 |
| SBO | 4.45 | 3.50 | 1.68 |
| Superbet | 4.85 | 3.75 | 1.72 |
| Unibet | 4.80 | 3.70 | 1.68 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.50 | 1.67 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .