Dunkerque
vs
Saint-Etienne
2 – 1 Full time
| 19′ | Julien Le Cardinal | ||
| 39′ | Adrian Lebeau | ||
| 43′ | Augustine Boakye | ||
| 45′ | Adrian LebeauGaëtan Robail | ||
| 51′ | Tamar Svetlin | ||
| 52′ | Khalil Ayari | ||
| 52′ | Khalil Ayari | ||
| 53′ | Tamar SvetlinBen Old | ||
| 53′ | Thierno BalloJakob Breum | ||
| 58′ | Souleymane Keita | ||
| 70′ | Irvin CardonaJoshua Duffus | ||
| 70′ | Kevin PedroJoão Ferreira | ||
| 71′ | Khalil AyariOusmane Touré | ||
| 71′ | Souleymane KeitaEnzo Mayilla | ||
| 77′ | Maxime BernauerNadir El Jamali | ||
| 77′ | Egor PrutsevSteven N'Zonzi | ||
| 85′ | Jordan MorelFranck Leroy Atoen | ||
| 90′ | Théna Massock | ||
| 90′ | Franck Leroy Atoen |
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Offsides | 6 |
| 4 | Saves | 0 |
| 347 | Accurate passes | 467 |
Dunkerque vs Saint-Etienne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dunkerque vs Saint-Etienne
| Probability | Dunkerque | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.7% | 16.9% | 70.4% |
| Market | 19.8% | 23.2% | 57.0% |
| Final | 18.0% | 21.7% | 60.3% |
| Edge | -7.1% | -6.3% | +13.4% |
Why Saint-Etienne
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.75 vs 1.14.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Saint-Etienne below the model: +13.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dunkerque and Saint-Etienne expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.89
Dunkerque and Saint-Etienne attack and defence ratings
Dunkerque
Saint-Etienne
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dunkerque vs Saint-Etienne: result vs prediction
Dunkerque 2 – 1 Saint-Etienne
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dunkerque vs Saint-Etienne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Saint-Etienne | 60.3% | 1.66 | +13.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Saint-Etienne win | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dunkerque | 18.0% |
| Draw | 21.7% | |
| Saint-Etienne | 60.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.4% |
| No | 35.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Saint-Etienne win | 50.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 29.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.8% |
| 1-3 | 8.1% | |
| 0-2 | 7.7% |
Dunkerque vs Saint-Etienne stats
Dunkerque and Saint-Etienne recent form
| Dunkerque |
DLLDWL |
| Saint-Etienne |
WWWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dunkerque and Saint-Etienne going into this match
Dunkerque record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 75% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Saint-Etienne record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Dunkerque vs Saint-Etienne head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Saint-Etienne | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Dunkerque | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 2 | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-03 | Dunkerque | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 2 | 1-0 |
| 2023-10-04 | Saint-Etienne | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dunkerque vs Saint-Etienne odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.1%, draw 23.7%, away 56.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.33 | 3.75 | 1.75 |
| 1xBet | 4.50 | 4.20 | 1.65 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.70 | 1.57 |
| BetVictor | 4.80 | 3.90 | 1.65 |
| Betano | 4.75 | 4.05 | 1.70 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 4.00 | 1.62 |
| Dafabet | 4.50 | 3.65 | 1.75 |
| Marathonbet | 4.60 | 4.15 | 1.63 |
| Pinnacle | 4.70 | 4.22 | 1.62 |
| SBO | 4.44 | 3.69 | 1.63 |
| William Hill | 4.33 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .