PAU
vs
Dunkerque
2 – 0 Full time
| 11′ | Victor Mayela | ||
| 16′ | Anthony Briançon | ||
| 17′ | Gaëtan RobailBram Lagae | ||
| 32′ | Abdel Hakim Abdallah | ||
| 49′ | Jessy Benet | ||
| 52′ | Bram Lagae | ||
| 58′ | Axel BambaAxel Dodote | ||
| 63′ | Albert Sánchez Saura | ||
| 66′ | Jeremy SebasAbdoulaye Mbaye | ||
| 67′ | Abdel Hakim AbdallahSouleymane Basse | ||
| 67′ | Jordan MorelOusmane Touré | ||
| 68′ | Egor PrutsevEnzo Mayilla | ||
| 77′ | Souleymane KeitaPape Dieng | ||
| 77′ | Théna MassockFranck Leroy Atoen | ||
| 81′ | Enzo Mayilla | ||
| 83′ | Tom SaettelLorenzo Rajot | ||
| 88′ | Abdoulaye Mbaye |
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 67 | Possession % | 33 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 8 |
| 497 | Accurate passes | 210 |
PAU vs Dunkerque overview
Garuda Lions analysis: PAU vs Dunkerque
| Probability | PAU | Draw | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.0% | 25.6% | 44.5% |
| Market | 41.4% | 27.6% | 31.0% |
| Final | 38.5% | 27.1% | 34.4% |
| Edge | -11.4% | -2.0% | +13.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
PAU and Dunkerque expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.11
PAU and Dunkerque attack and defence ratings
PAU
Dunkerque
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
PAU vs Dunkerque: result vs prediction
PAU 2 – 0 Dunkerque
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
PAU vs Dunkerque markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PAU | 38.5% | 2.59 | -11.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PAU | 38.5% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Dunkerque | 34.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% |
| No | 37.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | PAU win | 13.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.1% | |
| Loss | 70.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 2-1 | 7.4% |
PAU vs Dunkerque stats
PAU and Dunkerque recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
PAU and Dunkerque going into this match
PAU record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dunkerque record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- 69% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
PAU vs Dunkerque head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | Dunkerque | PAU | Ligue 2 | 3-1 |
| 2025-10-24 | PAU | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 | 0-3 |
| 2025-01-10 | PAU | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-20 | Dunkerque | PAU | Ligue 2 | 3-2 |
| 2024-03-09 | Dunkerque | PAU | Ligue 2 | 1-0 |
| 2023-12-02 | PAU | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
| 2022-03-12 | Dunkerque | PAU | Ligue 2 | 1-0 |
| 2021-09-24 | PAU | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 | 1-2 |
| 2021-03-20 | PAU | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 | 3-1 |
| 2020-11-28 | Dunkerque | PAU | Ligue 2 | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
PAU vs Dunkerque odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.4%, draw 27.6%, away 31.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.38 | 3.05 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.40 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 3.38 | 3.04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.30 | 3.49 | 3.16 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 3.20 | 2.87 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .