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Premier Division · Full time ·Matchday 29

Galway United vs Shelbourne

1 – 1 Full time

Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway

Galway United 38%
Draw 27%
Shelbourne 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Galway United vs Shelbourne overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Galway United vs Shelbourne

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGalway UnitedDrawShelbourne
Model45.6%25.5%28.9%
Market35.4%27.1%37.5%
Final38.0%26.7%35.3%
Edge+10.2%-1.6%-8.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Galway United

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.36.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Galway United below the model: +10.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Galway United ↓ / Shelbourne → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Galway United and Shelbourne expected goals

Galway United 1.75
Shelbourne 1.36

Total expected goals: 3.10

Galway United and Shelbourne attack and defence ratings

Galway United

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Shelbourne

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Galway United vs Shelbourne: result vs prediction

Galway United 1 – 1 Shelbourne

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Premier Division

Before and after this match

Galway United vs Shelbourne markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Galway United 38.0% 2.63 +10.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.9% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.4% 1.60 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.3% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.4% 1.84 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Galway United38.0%
Draw26.7%
Shelbourne35.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.9%
Under 2.540.1%
Both teams to scoreYes62.4%
No37.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.7%
12 (either side)73.3%
X2 (draw or away)62.0%
Handicap -1Galway United win25.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss54.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
2-19.3%
1-27.2%

Galway United vs Shelbourne stats

Galway United and Shelbourne recent form

newest first
Galway United WDDDWL
Shelbourne DLLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Galway United and Shelbourne going into this match

league record before kick-off

Galway United record

  • They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Shelbourne record

  • They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Galway United vs Shelbourne head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Galway United wins 6Draws 2Shelbourne wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-29ShelbourneGalway UnitedPremier Division1-1
2026-02-20ShelbourneGalway UnitedPremier Division1-1
2025-09-07ShelbourneGalway UnitedPremier Division1-0
2025-06-27Galway UnitedShelbournePremier Division1-1
2025-04-21ShelbourneGalway UnitedPremier Division2-2
2025-03-03Galway UnitedShelbournePremier Division1-1
2024-09-20Galway UnitedShelbournePremier Division1-0
2024-08-16ShelbourneGalway UnitedFAI Cup1-1
2024-06-28ShelbourneGalway UnitedPremier Division2-0
2024-04-19Galway UnitedShelbournePremier Division1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Galway United vs Shelbourne odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.4%, draw 27.1%, away 37.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.55 3.50 2.55
1xBet 2.62 3.50 2.47
Bet365 2.55 3.40 2.45
BetVictor 2.55 3.40 2.45
Betano 2.60 3.40 2.47
Betfair 2.60 3.60 2.50
Dafabet 2.70 3.45 2.46
Marathonbet 2.62 3.50 2.47
Pinnacle 2.64 3.63 2.50
SBO 2.50 3.08 2.35
Superbet 2.67 3.35 2.45
Unibet 2.75 3.35 2.45
William Hill 2.50 3.40 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.60 ▲ +0.06
X 3.40 ▼ -0.11
2 2.46 ▼ -0.05

14 snapshots recorded, from .